Tua Tagovailoa’s Miami Dolphins hit the field against the NFC’s Atlanta Falcons at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 8 of the 2025 NFL season. Let’s take a look at Tagovailoa’s prop bets available for this contest, and break down his stats and trends to figure out the top value picks.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Tua Tagovailoa to go over 193.5 yards
Tua Tagovailoa Prop Lines
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins at Atlanta Falcons
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: October 26, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 193.5 (-111)
Tua Tagovailoa Stats and Trends
- Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 1,313 yards, completing 67.8%, with 11 touchdowns and 10 picks (187.6 yards per game).
- Tagovailoa passes for 187.6 yards per game. That’s 5.9 fewer yards than his over/under on Sunday.
- In seven games this season, Tagovailoa has surpassed 193.5 passing yards three times.
- His average prop bet for passing yards this season has been 228.5. His actual passing average is below that — by 40.9 yards per game.
- This year, Tagovailoa has gone over his passing yards prop total twice.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in six of seven games this season — including multiple TDs four times.
- Tagovailoa has tacked on 38 yards rushing on 11 attempts.
Recent Performances vs. the Falcons
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buccaneers | 159 | 3 |
| 2 | Vikings | 120 | 0 |
| 3 | Panthers | 114 | 0 |
| 4 | Commanders | 147 | 2 |
| 6 | Bills | 157 | 2 |
| 7 | 49ers | 150 | 0 |
Dolphins Away Splits
- The Dolphins score 14.8 points per game in road games (5.2 fewer than overall), and concede 30.5 on the road (1.2 more than overall).
- The Dolphins pick up fewer yards in away games (238.5 per game) than they do overall (279), but also give up fewer in away games (350.5 per game) than overall (363.1).
- The Dolphins pick up 157 passing yards per game away from home (29.6 fewer than overall), and give up 186.5 in road games (17.4 fewer than overall).
- Away from home, the Dolphins pick up fewer rushing yards (81.5 per game) than overall (92.4). They also allow more rushing yards (164 per game) than overall (159.3).
- The Dolphins convert more third downs away from home (41.2%) than they do overall (40.5%), and allow opponents to convert on fewer third downs on the road (45.8%) than overall (46.4%).
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