The UC Davis Aggies (14-9, 7-5 Big West) host the Cal Poly Mustangs (9-15, 5-7 Big West) in a matchup of Big West teams at University Credit Union Center, beginning at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 7, 2026. The Aggies are 5.5-point favorites in the game. The point total for the matchup is set at 169.5.
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UC Davis Cover -5.5 vs Cal Poly -112
UC Davis vs. Cal Poly betting lines
- UC Davis moneyline odds to win: -260
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +209
- Spread: UC Davis (-5.5)
- Total: 169.5
UC Davis statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- At home, UC Davis owns a better record against the spread (7-4-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (5-5-0).
- The Aggies have exceeded the over/under in seven of 11 home games (63.6%), compared to six of 10 road games (60%).
- UC Davis has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 6-1 (.857). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 1-1 (.500).
Recent trends
- The Aggies’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 79.0 points a contest compared to the 79.8 they’ve averaged this year.
- UC Davis’ points-allowed average over its past 10 games (77.9) is 1.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (76.1).
- The Aggies are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 9.6 threes per game and shooting 39.0% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.0 makes and 36.8% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
UC Davis betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-9-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-4-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
- O-U-P: 13-8-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-2 (Home: 6-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-7 (Home: 2-2; Away: 3-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (130th in nation) | 45.2 (246th) | 29.9 (292nd) | 31.5 (205th) | 16.3 (59th) | 12.3 (286th) |
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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Cal Poly has had better results away (8-5-0) than at home (3-5-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Mustangs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (37.5%, three of eight) than on the road (76.9%, 10 of 13).
- The Mustangs, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (2-5) than on the road (4-7) this season.
Recent trends
- While the Mustangs are scoring 82.1 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, amassing 81.2 points per contest.
- While Cal Poly is giving up 86.8 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark in its past 10 games, allowing 86.1 points per contest.
- The Mustangs are sinking 11.3 threes per contest with a 32.8% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 11.0 and 34.0%.
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 8-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 10-9-0)
- O-U-P: 13-9-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 10-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-13 (Home: 2-5; Away: 4-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.7 (270th in nation) | 46.8 (314th) | 33.2 (131st) | 33.3 (304th) | 13.4 (226th) | 15.4 (364th) |
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