The No. 25 UCF Knights (12-2, 1-1 Big 12) are 3.5-point favorites as they look to build on a 10-game home winning streak when they square off against the Cincinnati Bearcats (8-7, 0-2 Big 12) on Sunday, January 11, 2026 at Addition Financial Arena. The matchup airs at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup has a point total of 150.5.
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UCF Cover -3.5 vs Cincinnati -107
UCF vs. Cincinnati betting lines
- UCF moneyline odds to win: -171
- Cincinnati moneyline odds to win: +143
- Spread: UCF (-3.5)
- Total: 150.5
UCF statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- UCF did a better job covering the spread on the road (5-5-0) than it did at home (8-10-0) last season.
- The Knights hit the over on the over/under in five of 18 home games (27.8%) last season. They did better on the road, topping the total in eight of 10 matchups (80%).
Last season stats
- Offensively, the Knights were the 43rd-ranked squad in college basketball (79.8 points per game) last season. On defense, they were 10th-worst (80.4 points conceded per game).
- UCF was 119th in the nation in rebounds per game (33.0) and 12th-worst in rebounds allowed (34.9) last season.
- Last season the Knights were ranked 148th in the nation in assists with 13.9 per game.
UCF betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-7-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 4-5-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 7-7-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 0-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-0 (Home: 8-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (56th in nation) | 42.7 (135th) | 36.3 (48th) | 28.2 (48th) | 16.6 (65th) | 11.2 (154th) |
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Cincinnati statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Cincinnati’s winning percentage against the spread at home was .412 (7-10-0) last year. On the road, it was .462 (6-6-1).
- Bearcats games finished above the over/under 35.3% of the time at home (six of 17) last year, and 30.8% of the time on the road (four of 13).
- As moneyline underdogs last season, the Bearcats won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than on the road (1-6).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Bearcats are scoring 72.7 points per game, 1.0 fewer point than their season average (73.7).
- Cincinnati is surrendering 66.2 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 0.9 more points than it is allowing for the season (65.3).
- The Bearcats are sinking 9.9 three-pointers per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.6 more than their average for the season (9.3). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (32.9%) compared to their season average from three-point land (31.8%).
Cincinnati betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-10-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 0-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-5-0; As Underdog: 1-5-0)
- O-U-P: 4-11-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-1 (Home: 7-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.2 (314th in nation) | 39.6 (29th) | 36.5 (41st) | 32.1 (240th) | 17.3 (44th) | 12.5 (270th) |
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