The UCLA Bruins (16-6, 7-4 Big Ten) are only 2-point favorites as they attempt to build on a three-game home winning streak when they take on the No. 9 Michigan State Spartans (18-3, 9-1 Big Ten) on Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at Pauley Pavilion. The matchup airs at 10:00 PM ET on Peacock. The matchup has an over/under of 140.5 points.
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UCLA Cover -2 vs Michigan State -108
UCLA vs. Michigan State betting lines
- UCLA moneyline odds to win: -129
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: +108
- Spread: UCLA (-2)
- Total: 140.5
UCLA statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, UCLA has performed better when playing at home, covering eight times in 12 home games, and two times in six road games.
- At home, the Bruins exceed the total 41.7% of the time (five of 12 games). They hit the over more often on the road, eclipsing the total in 66.7% of games (four of six).
- As a moneyline favorite, UCLA has picked up the win in 11 of 12 games at home, good for a .917 winning percentage. It has won two of three games away from home (.667) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Bruins’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, racking up 73.1 points a contest compared to the 76.0 they’ve averaged this season.
- UCLA has been less stingy on defense lately, allowing 71.7 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 64.5 points per game its opponents average over the 2024-25 season.
- The Bruins are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 7.0 threes per game and shooting 33.8% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 7.1 makes and 34.9% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
UCLA betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-9-1 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 2-3-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2+: 8-6-1 (As Favorite: 9-7-1; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 10-12-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-4 (Home: 11-1; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (59th in nation) | 42.9 (137th) | 29.8 (306th) | 27.8 (25th) | 15.8 (57th) | 10.5 (95th) |
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Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, Michigan State is 6-5-0 at home against the spread (.545 winning percentage). Away, it is 3-1-0 ATS (.750).
- Spartans games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (three times out of 11) than away (two of four) this season.
Recent trends
- The Spartans have performed worse offensively in their past 10 games, generating 78.9 points per contest, 1.5 fewer points their than season average of 80.4.
- In its last 10 games, Michigan State is surrendering 67.3 points per contest, the same number of points it is allowing per game this season.
- The Spartans are sinking 0.1 fewer treys per game over their past 10 games (5.5) compared to their season average (5.6), but they are producing a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (30.6%) compared to their season mark (29.0%).
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-8-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 11-7-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 8-13-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-2 (Home: 11-0; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.2 (63rd in nation) | 39.9 (23rd) | 37.1 (12th) | 27.9 (26th) | 18.3 (eighth) | 11.4 (185th) |
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