UConn vs. Michigan State betting: March Madness Sweet 16 preview for March 27

Data Skrive

The No. 3 Michigan State Spartans (27-7) are 1.5-point underdogs for their Sweet 16 matchup against the No. 2 UConn Huskies (31-5) on Friday at 9:45 p.m. ET as the NCAA Tournament continues live from Capital One Arena and airing on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 136.5.

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Spread

UConn Cover -1.5 vs Michigan State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

UConn vs. Michigan State betting lines

  • UConn moneyline odds to win: -133
  • Michigan State moneyline odds to win: +109
  • Spread: UConn (-1.5)
  • Total: 136.5

UConn statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Huskies have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 72.9 points per contest over that span compared to the 77.5 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
  • UConn has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 64.8 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 65.1 points per game its opponents average over the 2025-26 season.
  • The Huskies are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 7.2 threes per game and shooting 29.5% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.2 makes and 34.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

UConn betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-23-0 (Home: 4-13-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 13-23-0 (As Favorite: 13-23-0; As Underdog: 0-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-18-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 28-5 (Home: 12-2; Away: 9-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.2 (35th in nation) 40.2 (19th) 33.4 (98th) 27.3 (15th) 18.4 (ninth) 10.4 (119th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on UConn vs. Michigan State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Michigan State statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Spartans are tallying 79.6 points per contest in their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 79.3.
  • Over its previous 10 games, Michigan State is giving up 75.0 points per contest, 6.6 more points than its season average (68.4).
  • The Spartans are draining 8.6 threes per game with a 40.8% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.8 and 36.5%.

Michigan State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 18-16-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 15-13-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-18-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 25-3 (Home: 15-0; Away: 5-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.4 (50th in nation) 41.1 (35th) 36.7 (16th) 25.4 (first) 18.8 (fourth) 10.9 (188th)
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About Ryan Knuppel

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