The Villanova Wildcats (21-5, 12-3 Big East) are slight underdogs (by 2.5 points) to build on a four-game home winning streak when they host the No. 5 UConn Huskies (24-3, 14-2 Big East) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 5:30 p.m. ET. The matchup’s point total is 140.5.
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UConn Cover -2.5 vs Villanova -112
UConn vs. Villanova betting lines
- UConn moneyline odds to win: -154
- Villanova moneyline odds to win: +126
- Spread: UConn (-2.5)
- Total: 140.5
UConn statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- At home, UConn owns a worse record against the spread (3-12-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (4-5-0).
- Looking at over/unders, the Huskies hit the over less consistently at home, as they’ve gone over the total seven times in 15 opportunities this season (46.7%). On the road, they have hit the over six times in nine opportunities (66.7%).
- As a moneyline favorite, UConn has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.833) compared to away games (.889).
Recent trends
- The Huskies have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 78.7 points per game in their last 10 outings, 0.7 points fewer than the 79.4 they’ve scored this year.
- The last 10 games have seen UConn give up 4.8 more points per game (70.9) than its season-long average (66.1).
- The Huskies’ last 10 outings have seen them make 9.7 three-pointers per game while shooting 37.2% from deep. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 8.7 makes and 36.8%.
UConn betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-19-0 (Home: 3-12-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 8-18-0 (As Favorite: 8-19-0; As Underdog: 0-0-0)
- O-U-P: 15-12-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-3 (Home: 10-2; Away: 8-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (30th in nation) | 40.3 (23rd) | 33.2 (116th) | 28.5 (43rd) | 18.6 (ninth) | 10.0 (67th) |
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Villanova statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, Villanova is 7-6-0 at home against the spread (.538 winning percentage). On the road, it is 7-3-0 ATS (.700).
- In terms of the over/under, Wildcats games have finished over less often at home (eight of 13, 61.5%) than on the road (seven of 10, 70%).
- The Wildcats, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (2-2) this season.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Wildcats are averaging 78.8 points per contest, 0.5 more than their season average (78.3).
- Villanova is ceding 73.2 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 3.3 more points than it is allowing for the season (69.9).
- The Wildcats are sinking 10.1 treys per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.2 more than their average for the season (9.9). Likewise, they own a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (36.3%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (36.2%).
Villanova betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-9-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 12-7-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 16-10-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-1 (Home: 11-1; Away: 6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-4 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.9 (138th in nation) | 44.4 (194th) | 31.7 (211th) | 30.8 (171st) | 15.5 (89th) | 9.1 (25th) |
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