The UCSD Tritons (13-2, 3-0 Big West) are big, 15-point favorites as they try to build on an 11-game win streak when they host the Cal Poly Mustangs (6-10, 0-4 Big West) on Thursday, January 9, 2025 at LionTree Arena. The contest airs at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is set at 158.5.
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UCSD Cover -15 vs Cal Poly -107
UCSD vs. Cal Poly betting lines
- UCSD moneyline odds to win: -1639
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +891
- Spread: UCSD (-15)
- Total: 158.5
UCSD statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- At home, UCSD owns a worse record against the spread (2-2-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (5-1-0).
- The Tritons have eclipsed the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (75%) than games on the road (50%).
- UCSD has performed worse as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 3-1, compared to going 3-0 away from home.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Tritons have been scoring 85.8 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 81.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- The last 10 games have seen UCSD concede 3.5 fewer points per game (58.3) than its season-long average (61.8).
- The Tritons are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 11.4 threes per game and shooting 36.0% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 10.9 makes and 35.9% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
UCSD betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-3-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 5-1-0)
- O-U-P: 6-7-0 (Home: 3-1-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-1 (Home: 3-1; Away: 3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 (130th in nation) | 41.0 (76th) | 31.3 (267th) | 29.9 (116th) | 15.5 (97th) | 8.6 (third) |
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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Cal Poly has performed better against the spread on the road (4-5-0) than at home (1-4-0) this year.
- Mustangs games have gone above the over/under more frequently at home (four times out of five) than away (six of nine) this season.
- When moneyline underdogs, the Mustangs have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-2) than on the road (2-6).
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Mustangs are posting 82.3 points per game, 0.1 fewer points than their season average (82.4).
- While Cal Poly is giving up 85.4 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 88.1 points per contest.
- The Mustangs are sinking 10.7 three-pointers per game in their past 10 games, the same number as their average for the season. Meanwhile, they own a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (33.3%) compared to their season average (33.8%).
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-9-0 (Home: 1-4-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 15+: 3-0-0 (As Favorite: 0-3-0; As Underdog: 5-6-0)
- O-U-P: 10-4-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-1 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (124th in nation) | 45.8 (297th) | 32.8 (195th) | 35.3 (338th) | 16.0 (77th) | 16.9 (363rd) |
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