The Cal Poly Mustangs (13-16, 9-8 Big West) will try to build on a four-game winning streak when they visit the UCSD Tritons (20-9, 10-7 Big West) at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026 as 6.5-point underdogs. The Tritons have also won four games in a row. The over/under is set at 162.5 for the matchup.
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UCSD Cover -6.5 vs Cal Poly -114
UCSD vs. Cal Poly betting lines
- UCSD moneyline odds to win: -306
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +239
- Spread: UCSD (-6.5)
- Total: 162.5
UCSD statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In home games, UCSD has a worse record against the spread (4-8-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (6-5-0).
- When it comes to point totals, the Tritons hit the over more often in home games, as they’ve gone over the total five times in 12 opportunities this season (41.7%). In away games, they have hit the over three times in 11 opportunities (27.3%).
- UCSD has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 7-5 (.583). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 5-2 (.714).
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Tritons have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 69.0 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 76.4 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
- UCSD’s defense has been tough lately, as the team has given up 68.2 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 70.3 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- The Tritons are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 7.4 threes per game and shooting 31.5% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.7 makes and 34.0% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
UCSD betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 2-9-0 (As Favorite: 10-12-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
- O-U-P: 12-15-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 3-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-7 (Home: 7-5; Away: 5-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.9 (139th in nation) | 41.5 (47th) | 34.2 (73rd) | 32.2 (256th) | 14.8 (118th) | 11.0 (191st) |
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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Cal Poly has a lower winning percentage at home (.545, 6-5-0 record) than on the road (.600, 9-6-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Mustangs games have finished over five of 11 times at home (45.5%), and 10 of 15 on the road (66.7%).
- This season the Mustangs are 4-5 at home as moneyline underdogs (.444 winning percentage). On the road they are 5-8 (.385).
Recent trends
- The Mustangs are compiling 85.3 points per contest over their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 82.2.
- Cal Poly has fared better defensively over its past 10 games, allowing 84.9 points per contest, 0.3 fewer points than its season average of 85.2 allowed.
- The Mustangs are draining 11.1 three-pointers per game with a 34.3% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 10.9 and 33.8%.
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 9-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 2-2-0; As Underdog: 13-10-0)
- O-U-P: 15-12-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 10-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-2 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 9-14 (Home: 4-5; Away: 5-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.6 (276th in nation) | 45.8 (267th) | 33.4 (104th) | 33.3 (314th) | 13.2 (232nd) | 15.1 (365th) |
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