The UMass Minutemen (9-7, 0-4 MAC) are heavily favored (-11.5) to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Ball State Cardinals (4-11, 0-3 MAC) at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 10, 2026 at William D. Mullins Center. The contest airs on ESPN+. The over/under is set at 148.5 for the matchup.
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UMass Cover -11.5 vs Ball State -108
UMass vs. Ball State betting lines
- UMass moneyline odds to win: -730
- Ball State moneyline odds to win: +513
- Spread: UMass (-11.5)
- Total: 148.5
UMass statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- UMass sported a worse record against the spread when playing at home (6-9-0) than it did in away games (8-3-0) last season.
- When it came to over/unders, the Minutemen hit the over more consistently when playing at home last season, as they exceeded the total eight times in 15 opportunities (53.3%). In road games, they hit the over five times in 11 opportunities (45.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite last season, UMass won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.500) compared to away games (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Minutemen have been racking up 81.7 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little higher than the 80.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- The past 10 games have seen UMass give up 74.1 points per game, which equals its season-long average.
- The Minutemen’s 7.2 made three-pointers per-game average in their past 10 games are less than the 7.3 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 35.5% compared to their season-long percentage of 34.1% from long distance.
UMass betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-7-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-5-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-6-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 2-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-3 (Home: 5-1; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.4 (126th in nation) | 43.6 (184th) | 35.2 (81st) | 28.6 (64th) | 18.1 (28th) | 13.4 (324th) |
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Ball State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, Ball State is 2-3-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). On the road, it is 1-5-0 ATS (.167).
- Cardinals games have finished above the over/under more often at home (one time out of five) than on the road (one of six) this year.
- As moneyline underdogs, the Cardinals have won the same percentage of games (.000) at home (0-2) and on the road (0-5).
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Cardinals are scoring 68.0 points per game, 0.8 more than their season average (67.2).
- In its last 10 games, Ball State is ceding 69.6 points per game, 0.4 more points than its season average (69.2).
- The Cardinals are sinking 7.2 three-pointers per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.3 more than their average for the season (6.9). That said, they own a worse shooting percentage from three-point land over their last 10 contests (30.5%) compared to their season average (30.8%).
Ball State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 4-9-0 (Home: 2-3-0; Away: 1-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-3-0; As Underdog: 3-6-0)
- O-U-P: 4-9-0 (Home: 1-4-0; Away: 1-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-3 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-8 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.6 (325th in nation) | 45.2 (273rd) | 27.7 (348th) | 32.5 (255th) | 13.1 (261st) | 10.1 (58th) |
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