UMass vs. Buffalo betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 23

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Buffalo Bulls (13-6, 3-4 MAC) are 1.5-point underdogs as they attempt to turn around a four-game losing streak when they host the UMass Minutemen (12-8, 3-5 MAC) on Friday, January 23, 2026 at Alumni Arena. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The matchup has a point total of 159.5.

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UMass Cover -1.5 vs Buffalo -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

UMass vs. Buffalo betting lines

  • UMass moneyline odds to win: -110
  • Buffalo moneyline odds to win: -110
  • Spread: UMass (-1.5)
  • Total: 159.5

UMass statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • UMass owns a better record against the spread when playing at home (4-6-0) than it does in road games (1-3-0).
  • The Minutemen have exceeded the over/under less often when playing at home, hitting the over in six of 10 home matchups (60%). In away games, they have hit the over in three of four games (75%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, UMass has picked up the win in seven of eight games at home, good for a .875 winning percentage. It has won one of three games away from home (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Minutemen have been scoring 82.6 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 80.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • UMass has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 77.6 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 74.6 it has conceded this season.
  • The Minutemen’s past 10 outings have seen them make 8.4 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 7.7 makes and 35.0%.

UMass betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-11-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 1-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 3-9-0 (As Favorite: 3-9-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-7-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 3-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-4 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.3 (129th in nation) 44.0 (193rd) 34.6 (86th) 28.4 (50th) 17.8 (25th) 13.5 (337th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on UMass vs. Buffalo? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Buffalo statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • This season, Buffalo is 4-3-0 at home against the spread (.571 winning percentage). On the road, it is 6-2-0 ATS (.750).
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Bulls’ games have finished above the over/under at home (85.7%, six of seven) compared to on the road (50%, four of eight).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Bulls have won the same percentage of games (.250) at home (1-3) and away (1-3).

Recent trends

  • The Bulls are putting up 82.5 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 2.3 more than their average for the season (80.2).
  • Buffalo is surrendering 79.0 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 4.1 more points than it is allowing for the season (74.9).
  • The Bulls are sinking 10.1 three-pointers per contest in their past 10 games, which is 0.5 more than their average for the season (9.6). Likewise, they have a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (39.3%) compared to their season average from three-point land (38.8%).

Buffalo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-6-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 6-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 3-5-0 (As Favorite: 8-1-0; As Underdog: 3-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-7-0 (Home: 6-1-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 1-3; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.7 (64th in nation) 45.9 (287th) 29.6 (309th) 29.3 (85th) 14.3 (180th) 10.2 (80th)
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