UMass vs. Cent. Conn. St. betting: College basketball preview for Nov. 16

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (2-1) are double-digit, 11.5-point underdogs against the UMass Minutemen (2-1) at William D. Mullins Center on Sunday, November 16, 2025. The game begins at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under is set at 143.5 for the matchup.

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Spread

UMass Cover -11.5 vs Cent. Conn. St. -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

UMass vs. Cent. Conn. St. betting lines

  • UMass moneyline odds to win: -685
  • Cent. Conn. St. moneyline odds to win: +485
  • Spread: UMass (-11.5)
  • Total: 143.5

UMass statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • UMass covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games last season. UMass covered six times in 15 games at home, and it covered eight times in 11 games on the road.
  • When it came to point totals, the Minutemen hit the over more often when playing at home last year, as they exceeded the total eight times in 15 opportunities (53.3%). On the road, they hit the over five times in 11 opportunities (45.5%).
  • UMass played worse as a moneyline favorite in home games last season, putting up a home record of 6-6, compared to going 1-0 in road games.

Last season stats

  • At 72.9 points scored per game and 75.0 points allowed last season, the Minutemen were 205th in college basketball offensively and 271st on defense.
  • Last year, UMass was 21st-best in college basketball in rebounds (35.8 per game) and 321st in rebounds allowed (33.8).
  • Last season the Minutemen were ranked 227th in college basketball in assists with 12.9 per game.

UMass betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 14-17-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 8-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-9-0; As Underdog: 8-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-16-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-8 (Home: 6-6; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-12 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.0 (344th in nation) 42.7 (103rd) 35.8 (21st) 33.8 (321st) 12.9 (227th) 11.2 (186th)

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Cent. Conn. St. statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Cent. Conn. St.’s winning percentage against the spread at home was .625 (10-6-0) last year. On the road, it was .800 (12-3-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Blue Devils games finished over 10 of 16 times at home (62.5%) last year, and five of 15 away (33.3%).
  • In 2024-25 as moneyline underdogs, the Blue Devils had a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 1-0 record) than away (.500, 2-2).

Last season stats

  • The Blue Devils were led by their defense last season, as they ranked eighth-best in the country by giving up only 62.9 points per game. They ranked 221st in college basketball in points scored (72.3 per contest).
  • Cent. Conn. St. averaged 32.8 rebounds per game (135th-ranked in college basketball). It ceded 29.0 rebounds per contest (53rd-ranked).
  • The Blue Devils ranked 119th in the country with 14.3 dimes per game.

Cent. Conn. St. betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 22-10-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 12-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 17-9-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-16-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 5-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-4 (Home: 10-3; Away: 10-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.6 (40th in nation) 41.2 (43rd) 32.8 (135th) 29.0 (53rd) 14.3 (119th) 10.4 (108th)
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