UMBC vs. Albany (NY) betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The UMBC Retrievers (17-8, 10-2 America East) are favored (by 6.5 points) to continue a six-game home win streak when they host the Albany (NY) Great Danes (10-17, 6-6 America East) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET. The matchup’s over/under is 144.5.

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UMBC Cover -6.5 vs Albany (NY) -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

UMBC vs. Albany (NY) betting lines

  • UMBC moneyline odds to win: -282
  • Albany (NY) moneyline odds to win: +222
  • Spread: UMBC (-6.5)
  • Total: 144.5

UMBC statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • UMBC sports a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-5-0) than it does on the road (8-5-0).
  • The Retrievers have exceeded the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in five of 10 home matchups (50%). On the road, they have hit the over in six of 13 games (46.2%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, UMBC has won a higher percentage of its games at home (.875) compared to road games (.833).

Recent trends

  • The Retrievers have seen an increase in scoring lately, racking up 75.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.6 points more than the 75.2 they’ve scored this year.
  • UMBC’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (64.7) is 3.9 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.6).
  • The Retrievers are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 7.4 threes per game and shooting 33.9% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.0 makes and 35.2% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

UMBC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-10-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-6-0; As Underdog: 4-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-12-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 7-1; Away: 5-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.4 (118th in nation) 43.0 (106th) 32.3 (176th) 31.5 (215th) 12.5 (285th) 9.5 (41st)

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Albany (NY) statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Albany (NY) has a better winning percentage at home (.429, 3-4-0 record) than on the road (.286, 4-10-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Great Danes games have finished over less often at home (three of seven, 42.9%) than on the road (seven of 14, 50%).
  • The Great Danes’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .500 (1-1), and on the road it is .182 (2-9).

Recent trends

  • The Great Danes have played worse offensively in their past 10 games, tallying 70.0 points per contest, 2.8 fewer points their than season average of 72.8.
  • Albany (NY) has played better defensively over its previous 10 games, allowing 68.7 points per contest, 4.8 fewer points than its season average of 73.5 allowed.
  • The Great Danes are sinking 0.2 fewer three-pointers per game over their past 10 games (7.1) compared to their season average (7.3), but they are putting up a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (34.1%) compared to their season mark (33.2%).

Albany (NY) betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-15-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 4-10-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 4-7-0 (As Favorite: 2-4-0; As Underdog: 7-11-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-12-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 7-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-3 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-13 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.5 (110th in nation) 44.9 (229th) 30.4 (275th) 29.1 (65th) 14.1 (166th) 11.2 (201st)
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