UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell betting: America East Tournament preview for March 10

Data Skrive

The No. 1 seed UMBC Retrievers (22-8, 14-2 America East) are favored by 8.5 points in the America East Tournament when they play the No. 4 seed UMass-Lowell River Hawks (15-17, 9-7 America East) Tuesday at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena, beginning at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under in the matchup is 147.

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UMBC Cover -8.5 vs UMass-Lowell -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell betting lines

  • UMBC moneyline odds to win: -336
  • UMass-Lowell moneyline odds to win: +261
  • Spread: UMBC (-8.5)
  • Total: 147

UMBC statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • UMBC has a worse record against the spread in home games (7-6-0) than it does on the road (10-5-0).
  • When it comes to over/unders, the Retrievers hit the over less often in home games, as they’ve eclipsed the total six times in 13 opportunities this season (46.2%). In road games, they have hit the over seven times in 15 opportunities (46.7%).
  • UMBC has played better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 10-1, compared to going 7-1 in road games.

Recent trends

  • The Retrievers’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 78.0 points per contest compared to the 75.8 they’ve averaged this year.
  • UMBC’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has allowed 61.5 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 67.2 points per game its opponents average on the season.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Retrievers are making 0.1 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.9 compared to 8.0 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (36.7% compared to 35.8% season-long).

UMBC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-11-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 10-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 5-0-0 (As Favorite: 13-7-0; As Underdog: 4-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-2 (Home: 10-1; Away: 7-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.1 (66th in nation) 42.6 (85th) 32.8 (123rd) 30.6 (150th) 12.3 (291st) 9.2 (31st)

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UMass-Lowell statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • UMass-Lowell has been better against the spread at home (7-4-0) than away (9-9-0) this season.
  • River Hawks games have gone above the over/under more often at home (six times out of 11) than away (seven of 18) this year.
  • This year the River Hawks are 1-2 at home when moneyline underdogs (.333 winning percentage). Away they are 3-12 (.200).

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the River Hawks are scoring 76.6 points per game, 1.5 more than their season average (75.1).
  • In its previous 10 games, UMass-Lowell is giving up 72.3 points per contest, compared to its season average of 75.8 points allowed.
  • In their previous 10 games, the River Hawks are sinking 5.6 treys per game, 0.2 fewer threes than their season average (5.8). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (31.5%) compared to their season average (32.1%).

UMass-Lowell betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 9-9-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 7-3-0; As Underdog: 9-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 7-11-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 6-2; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-14 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-12)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.4 (111th in nation) 46.1 (279th) 33.9 (80th) 29.6 (95th) 12.7 (267th) 11.7 (263rd)
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