The Tarleton State Texans (11-8, 2-4 WAC) are underdogs (+3) as they try to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the UT Arlington Mavericks (12-6, 4-2 WAC) at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at College Park Center. The contest airs on ESPN+. The over/under for the matchup is set at 142.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
UT Arlington Cover -3 vs Tarleton State -110
UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State betting lines
- UT Arlington moneyline odds to win: -161
- Tarleton State moneyline odds to win: +135
- Spread: UT Arlington (-3)
- Total: 142.5
UT Arlington statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- UT Arlington has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (4-1-0) than it has in road tilts (6-4-0).
- The Mavericks have gone over the total in one of five home games (20%). They’ve fared better in road games, eclipsing the total in three of 10 matchups (30%).
- UT Arlington has played worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 3-1, compared to going 2-0 on the road.
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Mavericks have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 67.4 points per contest over that span compared to the 72.0 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- UT Arlington has been more porous on defense as of late, giving up 67.3 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 65.4 points per game its opponents average over the 2025-26 season.
- Over their past 10 outings, the Mavericks are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (5.4), while shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (31.0% compared to 31.1% season-long).
UT Arlington betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-6-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3+: 3-0-0 (As Favorite: 5-1-0; As Underdog: 5-5-0)
- O-U-P: 4-12-0 (Home: 1-4-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-1 (Home: 3-1; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 4-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (197th in nation) | 41.5 (62nd) | 34.2 (103rd) | 27.2 (17th) | 12.6 (293rd) | 14.2 (354th) |
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Tarleton State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Tarleton State’s winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .667. It is 4-2-0 ATS on its home court and 6-3-0 on the road.
- Both at home (four of six) and on the road (six of nine), the Texans’ games have finished over (in terms of the over/under) 66.7% of the time.
- The Texans, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (2-5) this season.
Recent trends
- The Texans have played better offensively in their past 10 games, posting 86.9 points per contest, 5.9 more than their season average of 81.0.
- Over its previous 10 games, Tarleton State is surrendering 73.0 points per game, 1.5 fewer points than its season average (74.5).
- The Texans are sinking 5.6 threes per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.4 more than their average for the season (5.2). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (35.2%) compared to their season average from downtown (34.0%).
Tarleton State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-5-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-2-0; As Underdog: 5-3-0)
- O-U-P: 10-5-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-2 (Home: 4-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.0 (94th in nation) | 45.8 (283rd) | 29.9 (298th) | 30.6 (157th) | 12.2 (311th) | 13.4 (331st) |
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