The Incarnate Word Cardinals (9-12, 4-8 Southland) are underdogs (+2.5) as they try to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (10-11, 6-6 Southland) at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 31, 2026 at Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 141.5 points.

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UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Incarnate Word betting lines

• UT Rio Grande Valley moneyline odds to win: -147
• Incarnate Word moneyline odds to win: +122
• Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley (-2.5)
• Total: 141.5

UT Rio Grande Valley statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• UT Rio Grande Valley has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered three times in eight games when playing at home, and it has covered six times in 11 games on the road.
• The Vaqueros have exceeded the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in three of eight home matchups (37.5%). On the road, they have hit the over in four of 11 games (36.4%).
• As a moneyline favorite, UT Rio Grande Valley has won a lower percentage of its home games (.333) compared to away games (.500).

Recent trends

• In their last 10 games, the Vaqueros have been racking up 68.8 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 73.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
• UT Rio Grande Valley has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 67.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 68.8 it has surrendered per game this season.
• The Vaqueros are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 8.2 threes per game and shooting 32.8% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 9.1 makes and 36.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

UT Rio Grande Valley betting records this season

• ATS Record: 9-10-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 6-5-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 2-7-0 (As Favorite: 3-7-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
• O-U-P: 7-12-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 4-7-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-6 (Home: 2-4; Away: 2-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 2-0; Away: 2-5)

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Incarnate Word statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Against the spread, Incarnate Word has performed better at home (4-3-0) than on the road (2-7-0).
• Cardinals games have gone above the over/under more often at home (four times out of seven) than on the road (four of nine) this year.
• The Cardinals, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than on the road (0-5) this year.

Recent trends

• In their past 10 games, the Cardinals are posting 68.6 points per game, 7.3 fewer points than their season average (75.9).
• While Incarnate Word is surrendering 72.5 points per game in 2025-26, it has bettered that mark in its last 10 games, allowing 70.5 points per contest.
• The Cardinals are sinking 0.8 fewer three-pointers per contest over their previous 10 games (7.9) compared to their season average (8.7), and they are delivering a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (34.6%) compared to their season mark (37.4%).

Incarnate Word betting records this season

• ATS Record: 7-11-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 2-7-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-7-0; As Underdog: 4-4-0)
• O-U-P: 10-8-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 4-5-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-5 (Home: 4-1; Away: 0-4)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 1-1; Away: 0-5)