The Nicholls State Colonels (10-14, 9-6 Southland) are just 2.5-point underdogs as they look to end a four-game home losing streak when they host the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (13-11, 9-6 Southland) on Monday, February 9, 2026 at David R. Stopher Gymnasium. The matchup airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is set at 148.5.
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UT Rio Grande Valley Cover -2.5 vs Nicholls State -117
UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Nicholls State betting lines
- UT Rio Grande Valley moneyline odds to win: -159
- Nicholls State moneyline odds to win: +129
- Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley (-2.5)
- Total: 148.5
UT Rio Grande Valley statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- UT Rio Grande Valley has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (8-5-0) than it has in home games (4-5-0).
- The Vaqueros have hit the over on the total in a lower percentage of games at home (33.3%) than road games (46.2%).
- UT Rio Grande Valley has played worse as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 3-4, compared to going 4-2 in road games.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Vaqueros have been scoring 76.6 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 75.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- UT Rio Grande Valley has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 68.1 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 69.6 points per game its opponents average on the 2025-26 season.
- Over their past 10 outings, the Vaqueros are making 0.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.5 compared to 9.4 season-long), while shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.5% compared to 37.5% season-long).
UT Rio Grande Valley betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-10-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 8-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 4-7-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-13-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 6-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-6 (Home: 3-4; Away: 4-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 2-0; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.7 (93rd in nation) | 41.4 (52nd) | 31.7 (215th) | 29.7 (100th) | 17.0 (39th) | 10.9 (153rd) |
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Nicholls State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Nicholls State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .375 (3-5-0). On the road, it is .467 (7-8-0).
- Colonels games have gone above the over/under less often at home (four times out of eight) than on the road (eight of 15) this season.
- The Colonels’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .500 (1-1), and on the road it is .308 (4-9).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Colonels are posting 70.6 points per contest, compared to their season average of 73.5.
- Nicholls State is allowing 76.8 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 0.8 more points than it is allowing for the season (76.0).
- The Colonels are sinking 0.5 fewer three-pointers per game in their last 10 games (8.5) compared to their season average (9.0), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (32.3%) compared to their season mark (34.2%).
Nicholls State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-13-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 7-8-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 6-8-0 (As Favorite: 3-5-0; As Underdog: 7-8-0)
- O-U-P: 12-11-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 8-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-4 (Home: 3-3; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-10 (Home: 1-1; Away: 4-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.3 (285th in nation) | 48.0 (347th) | 27.8 (346th) | 32.4 (256th) | 13.2 (239th) | 11.5 (221st) |
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