The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (17-13, 13-8 Southland) are at home in Southland play against the Northwestern State Demons (10-20, 8-13 Southland) on Monday, March 2, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Vaqueros are favored by 9.5 points in the game. The over/under for the matchup is 137.5.
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UT Rio Grande Valley Cover -9.5 vs Northwestern State -123
UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State betting lines
- UT Rio Grande Valley moneyline odds to win: -633
- Northwestern State moneyline odds to win: +438
- Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley (-9.5)
- Total: 137.5
UT Rio Grande Valley statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- UT Rio Grande Valley has done a better job covering the spread in away games (11-5-0) than it has in home games (4-8-0).
- The Vaqueros have gone over the over/under less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in three of 12 home matchups (25%). On the road, they have hit the over in eight of 16 games (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, UT Rio Grande Valley has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.500) compared to away games (.750).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Vaqueros have been scoring 78.5 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 75.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- UT Rio Grande Valley’s defense has been tough lately, as the team has given up 68.9 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 69.3 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- While the Vaqueros are hitting more threes per game over their past 10 contests (9.4 per game) compared to their season-long average (9.3), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (36.7% from deep over the last 10, 37.2% on the season).
UT Rio Grande Valley betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 11-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 7-3-0)
- O-U-P: 11-17-0 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 8-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-7 (Home: 5-5; Away: 6-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-6 (Home: 2-0; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (65th in nation) | 41.3 (37th) | 31.5 (214th) | 29.6 (87th) | 16.6 (40th) | 10.7 (155th) |
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Northwestern State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Northwestern State has a better winning percentage at home (.667, 8-4-0 record) than away (.562, 9-7-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Demons’ games have finished above the over/under at home (33.3%, four of 12) compared to on the road (68.8%, 11 of 16).
- The Demons’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .375 (3-5), and away it is .125 (2-14).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Demons are posting 62.5 points per game, 6.7 fewer points than their season average (69.2).
- Over its previous 10 games, Northwestern State is ceding 64.4 points per contest, compared to its season average of 72.7 points allowed.
- In their past 10 games, the Demons are draining 4.9 three-pointers per contest, 1.1 fewer threes than their season average (6.0). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (30.2%) compared to their season average (33.4%).
Northwestern State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-11-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 9-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 2-1-0; As Underdog: 15-10-0)
- O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 11-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-1 (Home: 3-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-19 (Home: 3-5; Away: 2-14)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.1 (252nd in nation) | 45.8 (268th) | 27.7 (346th) | 31.2 (199th) | 12.0 (308th) | 10.7 (155th) |
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