A pair of hot teams square off when the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (14-11, 10-6 Southland) host the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (22-3, 15-1 Southland) on Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 5:30 p.m. ET. The Vaqueros are 1.5-point favorites and put their eight-game win streak on the line against the Lumberjacks, winners of 10 straight. The matchup’s point total is set at 143.5.
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UT Rio Grande Valley Cover -1.5 vs SFA -115
UT Rio Grande Valley vs. SFA betting lines
- UT Rio Grande Valley moneyline odds to win: -129
- SFA moneyline odds to win: +104
- Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley (-1.5)
- Total: 143.5
UT Rio Grande Valley statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- When playing at home, UT Rio Grande Valley sports a worse record against the spread (4-5-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (9-5-0).
- At home, the Vaqueros eclipse the total 33.3% of the time (three of nine games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, exceeding the total in 50% of games (seven of 14).
- As a moneyline favorite, UT Rio Grande Valley has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.429) compared to away games (.714).
Recent trends
- The Vaqueros have seen an uptick in scoring lately, putting up 77.8 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.4 points more than the 76.4 they’ve scored this season.
- UT Rio Grande Valley has been tougher on defense as of late, giving up 68.6 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 69.7 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2025-26 season.
- The Vaqueros are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 9.5 threes per game and shooting 38.2% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 9.4 makes and 37.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
UT Rio Grande Valley betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-10-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 9-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 7-7-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 10-13-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 7-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-6 (Home: 3-4; Away: 5-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 2-0; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (65th in nation) | 41.5 (53rd) | 31.8 (203rd) | 29.2 (74th) | 16.9 (42nd) | 11.0 (168th) |
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SFA statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- SFA has performed better against the spread at home (10-2-0) than on the road (8-3-0) this year.
- In terms of the over/under, Lumberjacks games have finished over more often at home (five of 12, 41.7%) than away (four of 11, 36.4%).
- In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Lumberjacks have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 2-0 record) than away (.333, 1-2).
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Lumberjacks are putting up 77.1 points per game, compared to their season average of 78.0.
- SFA has fared worse defensively over its past 10 games, giving up 66.4 points per contest, 0.9 more points than its season average of 65.5.
- Over their previous 10 games, the Lumberjacks are sinking 8.8 three-pointers per contest, 0.5 fewer threes than their season average (9.3). They own a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (37.6%) compared to their season average (37.2%).
SFA betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-5-0 (Home: 10-2-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 14-4-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
- O-U-P: 9-14-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-1 (Home: 10-0; Away: 7-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 2-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 (162nd in nation) | 41.1 (43rd) | 34.6 (64th) | 28.7 (54th) | 14.3 (155th) | 9.0 (17th) |
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