Utah State vs. Air Force betting: College basketball preview for March 8

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Air Force Falcons (4-26, 1-18 MWC) will look to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Utah State Aggies (24-6, 14-5 MWC) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum as heavy, 22.5-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 4 p.m. ET on MW Network. The over/under is 145.5 in the matchup.

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Utah State Cover -22.5 vs Air Force -113

Bet $20, Payout $37.70

Utah State vs. Air Force betting lines

  • Utah State moneyline odds to win: -9091
  • Air Force moneyline odds to win: +2225
  • Spread: Utah State (-22.5)
  • Total: 145.5

Utah State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Utah State sports a better record against the spread when playing at home (8-7-0) than it does in road games (5-6-0).
  • When playing at home, the Aggies exceed the over/under 66.7% of the time (10 of 15 games). They’ve hit the over in 54.5% of away games (six of 11 contests).
  • In home games, Utah State has won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 13-2 (.867). In road games, it is 4-1 (.800) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Aggies have been racking up 78.6 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 81.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
  • Utah State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (77.1) is 6.4 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (70.7).
  • During their last 10 contests, the Aggies are making 0.7 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.2 compared to 8.9 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (35.5% compared to 36.9% season-long).

Utah State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 22.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 9-13-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-13-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-3 (Home: 13-2; Away: 4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.3 (10th in nation) 44.3 (209th) 31.2 (223rd) 28.2 (32nd) 17.7 (seventh) 10.4 (105th)

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Air Force statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Air Force has had better results away (6-7-0) than at home (4-12-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Falcons games have gone over eight of 16 times at home (50%), and nine of 13 on the road (69.2%).
  • The Falcons’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000, both at home (0-10) and on the road (0-13).

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Falcons are putting up 60.4 points per contest, compared to their season average of 62.5.
  • While Air Force is allowing 73.4 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 78 points per contest.
  • The Falcons are sinking 0.1 fewer three-pointers per contest over their previous 10 games (8) compared to their season average (8.1), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (32.5%) compared to their season mark (33.7%).

Air Force betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-19-0 (Home: 4-12-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-13-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 9-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 3-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-23 (Home: 0-10; Away: 0-13)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.4 (307th in nation) 47.9 (350th) 27 (356th) 31.7 (220th) 13.3 (205th) 12.1 (267th)
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