The Utah State Aggies (20-3, 11-2 MWC) are heavy, 21.5-point favorites as they try to build on a five-game win streak when they host the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-12, 5-7 MWC) on Tuesday, February 10, 2026 at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. The game airs at 9 p.m. ET on MW Network. The matchup has a point total of 153.5.
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Utah State Cover -21.5 vs Fresno State -107
Utah State vs. Fresno State betting lines
- Utah State moneyline odds to win: -3125
- Fresno State moneyline odds to win: +1288
- Spread: Utah State (-21.5)
- Total: 153.5
Utah State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Utah State has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered three times in nine games at home, and it has covered four times in nine games when playing on the road.
- At home, the Aggies exceed the over/under 55.6% of the time (five of nine games). They’ve hit the over in 44.4% of away games (four of nine contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, Utah State has won a higher percentage of its home games (.889) compared to road games (.857).
Recent trends
- The Aggies have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 81.4 points per game in their last 10 contests, 2.4 points fewer than the 83.8 they’ve scored this year.
- Utah State has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 70.0 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 68.5 it has surrendered this year.
- During their last 10 outings, the Aggies are making 0.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.5 compared to 8.4 season-long), while shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (34.4% compared to 36.3% season-long).
Utah State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-13-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 21.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-12-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 12-10-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-2 (Home: 8-1; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.3 (sixth in nation) | 41.3 (48th) | 31.8 (212th) | 27.7 (27th) | 17.9 (18th) | 10.7 (135th) |
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Fresno State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Fresno State has performed better against the spread at home (9-4-0) than on the road (4-3-0) this year.
- In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (46.2%, six of 13) compared to away (42.9%, three of seven).
- The Bulldogs, as moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (5-3) than away (0-4) this season.
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Bulldogs are averaging 69.6 points per game, compared to their season average of 72.7.
- In its past 10 games, Fresno State is surrendering 69.9 points per contest, 1.4 fewer points than its season average (71.3).
- The Bulldogs are sinking 7.8 treys per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.2 more than their average for the season (7.6). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.6%) compared to their season average from three-point land (32.2%).
Fresno State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-8-0 (Home: 9-4-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-13-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-4 (Home: 2-3; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-8 (Home: 5-3; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.1 (250th in nation) | 43.5 (155th) | 31.2 (247th) | 32.3 (249th) | 13.1 (248th) | 12.8 (319th) |
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