The Utah State Aggies (24-6, 14-5 MWC) host the New Mexico Lobos (22-8, 13-6 MWC) after winning six home games in a row. The Aggies are favored by 7.5 points in the contest, which begins at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 156.5.
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Utah State Cover -7.5 vs New Mexico -110
Utah State vs. New Mexico betting lines
- Utah State moneyline odds to win: -323
- New Mexico moneyline odds to win: +257
- Spread: Utah State (-7.5)
- Total: 156.5
Utah State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- When playing at home, Utah State sports a better record against the spread (5-8-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (4-8-0).
- In home games, the Aggies exceed the total 53.8% of the time (seven of 13 games). They hit the over more often in away games, exceeding the total in 58.3% of games (seven of 12).
- As a moneyline favorite, Utah State has taken 12 of 13 games when playing at home, good for a .923 winning percentage. It has won six of 10 games on the road (.600) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Aggies have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 79.5 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.2 points fewer than the 82.7 they’ve scored this season.
- Utah State has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 75.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 70.5 it has conceded this season.
- The Aggies’ 9.4 made three-pointers per-game average over their last 10 games are more than the 8.8 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a lower percentage of made shots, 35.5% compared to their season-long percentage of 36.3% from deep.
Utah State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-18-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 9-11-0 (As Favorite: 10-16-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 17-12-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-5 (Home: 12-1; Away: 6-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.1 (13th in nation) | 42.3 (73rd) | 30.7 (254th) | 28.8 (53rd) | 17.7 (17th) | 10.2 (100th) |
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New Mexico statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, New Mexico has a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 8-8-0 record) than on the road (.545, 6-5-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Lobos games have gone over 11 of 16 times at home (68.8%), and seven of 11 away (63.6%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Lobos have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than on the road (2-3).
Recent trends
- While the Lobos are averaging 80.4 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, amassing 79.8 points per contest.
- New Mexico is allowing 74.6 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 4.5 more points than it is allowing for the season (70.1).
- In their last 10 games, the Lobos are making 8.6 treys per game, 0.7 fewer threes than their season average (9.3). They sport a better three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (39.3%) compared to their season average (35.9%).
New Mexico betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 10-11-0; As Underdog: 5-3-0)
- O-U-P: 20-9-0 (Home: 11-5-0; Away: 7-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-4 (Home: 12-3; Away: 5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-4 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.9 (142nd in nation) | 41.7 (51st) | 33.7 (92nd) | 31.9 (238th) | 14.5 (130th) | 10.0 (82nd) |
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