Utah State vs. UNLV betting: College basketball preview for March 3

Data Skrive

The Utah State Aggies (24-5, 14-4 MWC) visit the UNLV Rebels (15-14, 10-8 MWC) in a matchup of MWC teams at Thomas & Mack Center, tipping off at 11 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2026. The Rebels are 7.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 158.

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Utah State Cover -7.5 vs UNLV -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Utah State vs. UNLV betting lines

  • Utah State moneyline odds to win: -361
  • UNLV moneyline odds to win: +278
  • Spread: Utah State (-7.5)
  • Total: 158

Utah State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Utah State has fared better at home, covering five times in 13 home games, and four times in 11 road games.
  • In home games, the Aggies exceed the total 53.8% of the time (seven of 13 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, topping the total in 54.5% of games (six of 11).
  • Utah State has performed better as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 12-1, compared to going 6-3 in away games.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Aggies have been putting up 82.4 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 83.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Utah State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (72.4) is 2.7 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (69.7).
  • The Aggies’ past 10 contests have seen them make 10.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 37.9% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 9.0 makes and 37.1%.

Utah State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-17-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 9-10-0 (As Favorite: 10-15-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-12-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-4 (Home: 12-1; Away: 6-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
50.6 (ninth in nation) 41.8 (53rd) 30.9 (243rd) 28.6 (44th) 17.8 (17th) 10.3 (111th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Utah State vs. UNLV? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

UNLV statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • UNLV has been better against the spread away (6-5-0) than at home (7-6-0) this season.
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Rebels’ games have finished above the over/under at home (76.9%, 10 of 13) compared to on the road (63.6%, seven of 11).
  • The Rebels, as moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-2) than on the road (4-4) this year.

Recent trends

  • The Rebels have played better offensively over their last 10 games, scoring 81.0 points per contest, 1.4 more than their season average of 79.6.
  • UNLV is ceding 83.2 points per contest over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 78.9 points allowed.
  • The Rebels are making 8.4 threes per contest over their past 10 games, which is 1.3 more than their average for the season (7.1). Likewise, they have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (39.1%) compared to their season average from downtown (34.2%).

UNLV betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-15-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 7-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-10-0 (Home: 10-3-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-6 (Home: 5-3; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-8 (Home: 3-2; Away: 4-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (79th in nation) 45.7 (263rd) 32.4 (154th) 30.9 (184th) 14.1 (156th) 11.5 (231st)
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