The Evansville Purple Aces (6-23, 2-16 MVC) are underdogs (+5.5) as they try to stop a four-game losing streak when they host the Valparaiso Beacons (17-13, 11-8 MVC) at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Ford Center. The contest airs on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is 137.5.
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Valparaiso Cover -5.5 vs Evansville -110
Valparaiso vs. Evansville betting lines
- Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: -238
- Evansville moneyline odds to win: +192
- Spread: Valparaiso (-5.5)
- Total: 137.5
Valparaiso statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Valparaiso has done a better job covering the spread in road games (10-3-0) than it has in home games (11-5-0).
- The Beacons have gone over the total in a lower percentage of games at home (37.5%) than road games (69.2%).
Recent trends
- The Beacons have been racking up 73.3 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 71.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Valparaiso’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 73.2 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 70.9 points per game its opponents average this season.
- Over their last 10 contests, the Beacons are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.5 compared to 7.2 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.8% compared to 33.7% season-long).
Valparaiso betting records this season
- ATS Record: 21-8-0 (Home: 11-5-0; Away: 10-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 6-4-0; As Underdog: 15-4-0)
- O-U-P: 15-14-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 9-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 9-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-12 (Home: 3-3; Away: 4-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.2 (322nd in nation) | 44.4 (187th) | 32.3 (168th) | 30.9 (179th) | 11.7 (322nd) | 9.8 (58th) |
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Evansville statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Evansville has had better results away (7-6-0) than at home (5-6-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Purple Aces games have gone over more frequently at home (six of 11, 54.5%) than away (seven of 13, 53.8%).
- This season the Purple Aces are 1-7 at home when moneyline underdogs (.125 winning percentage). Away they are 1-12 (.077).
Recent trends
- The Purple Aces have performed worse offensively in their previous 10 games, generating 64.1 points per contest, 2.7 fewer points their than season average of 66.8.
- In its last 10 games, Evansville is giving up 81.9 points per contest, 5.4 more points than its season average (76.5).
- The Purple Aces are draining 8.9 three-pointers per game with a 33.5% three-point percentage over their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.7 and 32.2%.
Evansville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-14-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 7-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 11-10-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 12-12-0)
- O-U-P: 14-13-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 7-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-21 (Home: 1-7; Away: 1-12)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.8 (308th in nation) | 46.1 (285th) | 27.9 (341st) | 32.3 (255th) | 13.0 (250th) | 12.5 (309th) |
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