The No. 15 Vanderbilt Commodores (16-3, 3-3 SEC) bring a three-game losing streak into a road matchup with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-9, 2-4 SEC), losers of four straight. The Commodores are favorites (-7.5) in the contest, which tips at 12 p.m. ET (on SEC Network+) on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 160.5 points.
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Vanderbilt Cover -7.5 vs Mississippi State -106
Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- Vanderbilt moneyline odds to win: -330
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +262
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-7.5)
- Total: 160.5
Vanderbilt statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Vanderbilt has covered the spread in the same percentage of home games as away games (50%). It has covered five times in 10 games at home and three times in six games when playing on the road.
- The Commodores have gone over the over/under in six of 10 home games (60%), compared to two of six road games (33.3%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Vanderbilt has won eight of eight games at home, good for a 1.000 winning percentage. It has won four of five games away from home (.800) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Commodores have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 84.3 points per contest over that span compared to the 90.2 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
- Vanderbilt’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has allowed 76.7 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 74.9 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- The Commodores’ last 10 outings have seen them make 9.5 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are down from their 2025-26 averages of 10.3 makes and 36.5%.
Vanderbilt betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-9-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 10-7-0; As Underdog: 0-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-10-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-1 (Home: 8-0; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.1 (28th in nation) | 41.9 (77th) | 33.3 (141st) | 30.5 (148th) | 17.8 (24th) | 8.8 (eighth) |
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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Mississippi State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .300 (3-7-0). On the road, it is .500 (2-2-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (30%, three of 10) than away (75%, three of four).
- The Bulldogs’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-1), and away it is .333 (1-2).
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have fared better offensively in their last 10 games, tallying 79.2 points per contest, 0.4 more than their season average of 78.8.
- While Mississippi State is surrendering 78.0 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark in its previous 10 games, allowing 77.5 points per contest.
- The Bulldogs are draining 6.9 three-pointers per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 0.7 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.6). In addition, they sport a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (29.1%) compared to their season average from three-point land (30.3%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-13-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 1-4-0)
- O-U-P: 10-9-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 (240th in nation) | 42.0 (85th) | 37.8 (18th) | 35.5 (348th) | 12.6 (289th) | 10.8 (133rd) |

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