Virginia vs. Cal betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 7

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 23 Virginia Cavaliers (12-2, 1-1 ACC) are heavy favorites (-13.5) as they look to continue a five-game home win streak when they host the California Golden Bears (13-2, 1-1 ACC) on Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at John Paul Jones Arena. The contest airs at 9 p.m. ET on ACC Network. The matchup has an over/under of 147.5 points.

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Spread

Virginia Cover -13.5 vs Cal -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Virginia vs. Cal betting lines

  • Virginia moneyline odds to win: -1124
  • Cal moneyline odds to win: +703
  • Spread: Virginia (-13.5)
  • Total: 147.5

Virginia statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread last season, Virginia performed worse at home, covering seven times in 17 home games, and five times in 11 road games.
  • When it came to over/unders, the Cavaliers hit the over less consistently at home last season, as they went over the total eight times in 17 opportunities (47.1%). In road games, they hit the over nine times in 11 opportunities (81.8%).

Last season stats

  • Offensively, the Cavaliers were the fifth-worst squad in the country (64.8 points per game) last season. On defense, they were 39th (66.8 points conceded per game).
  • Last season, Virginia was worst in the country in rebounds (26.8 per game) and 104th in rebounds conceded (30.1).
  • Last season the Cavaliers were ranked 93rd in the country in assists with 14.7 per game.

Virginia betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-6-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 2-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 6-6-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-7-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 2-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 6-0; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.3 (62nd in nation) 38.6 (18th) 38.7 (16th) 29.8 (121st) 17.2 (54th) 10.4 (92nd)

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Cal statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread last year, Cal had better results away (10-3-0) than at home (8-9-0).
  • Golden Bears games finished above the over/under 64.7% of the time at home (11 of 17) last season, and 30.8% of the time away (four of 13).
  • In 2024-25 as moneyline underdogs, the Golden Bears had a better winning percentage at home (.333, 1-2 record) than away (.154, 2-11).

Recent trends

  • While the Golden Bears are posting 81.5 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, amassing 80.2 points per contest.
  • Over its previous 10 games, Cal is ceding 68.0 points per contest, compared to its season average of 68.5 points allowed.
  • Over their previous 10 games, the Golden Bears are sinking 9.9 threes per contest, 0.5 more than their season average (9.4). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (38.4%) compared to their season average (37.4%).

Cal betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-7-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-8-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 11-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.1 (143rd in nation) 41.1 (73rd) 31.7 (246th) 31.1 (177th) 15.0 (138th) 9.1 (14th)
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