The No. 15 Virginia Cavaliers (20-3, 9-2 ACC) take a four-game winning streak into a road matchup with the Florida State Seminoles (11-12, 4-6 ACC), who have won three straight. The Cavaliers are favorites (-7.5) in the contest, which tips at 7 p.m. ET (on ESPNU) on Tuesday, February 10, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 153.5.
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Virginia Cover -7.5 vs Florida State -120
Virginia vs. Florida State betting lines
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: -392
- Florida State moneyline odds to win: +299
- Spread: Virginia (-7.5)
- Total: 153.5
Virginia statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Virginia has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered seven times in 13 games at home, and it has covered four times in seven games when playing on the road.
- When playing at home, the Cavaliers exceed the total 30.8% of the time (four of 13 games). They hit the over more often on the road, eclipsing the total in 42.9% of games (three of seven).
- As a moneyline favorite, Virginia has picked up the win in 10 of 11 games at home, good for a .909 winning percentage. It has won three of four games away from home (.750) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Cavaliers’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 77.3 points a contest compared to the 82.8 they’ve averaged this year.
- The past 10 games have seen Virginia give up 1.1 fewer points per game (66.8) than its season-long average (67.9).
- The Cavaliers are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 9.7 threes per game and shooting 33.6% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 10.1 makes and 35.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-10-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 7-7-0 (As Favorite: 10-10-0; As Underdog: 3-0-0)
- O-U-P: 9-14-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-3 (Home: 10-1; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.7 (95th in nation) | 39.8 (21st) | 37.7 (12th) | 29.0 (66th) | 17.1 (36th) | 10.2 (86th) |
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Florida State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Florida State has a lower winning percentage at home (.615, 8-5-0 record) than away (.714, 5-2-0).
- Seminoles games have finished above the over/under less often at home (five times out of 13) than away (three of seven) this season.
- The Seminoles’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-3), and away it is .286 (2-5).
Recent trends
- The Seminoles have played worse offensively in their previous 10 games, posting 75.4 points per contest, 5.4 fewer points their than season average of 80.8.
- Florida State is ceding 81.2 points per game over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 79.6 points allowed.
- The Seminoles are sinking 1.2 fewer treys per game in their last 10 games (9.2) compared to their season average (10.4), but they are delivering a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (31.9%) compared to their season mark (31.6%).
Florida State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-10-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 5-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 5-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-6-0; As Underdog: 7-4-0)
- O-U-P: 10-13-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 8-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 0-3; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3 (316th in nation) | 45.1 (247th) | 33.3 (120th) | 35.4 (348th) | 14.9 (123rd) | 11.4 (213th) |
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