The Florida State Seminoles (16-13, 7-11 ACC) are 4.5-point underdogs as they try to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Virginia Cavaliers (14-15, 7-11 ACC) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at John Paul Jones Arena. The matchup airs at 9 p.m. ET on ACC Network. The matchup has an over/under of 136.5 points.
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Virginia Cover -4.5 vs Florida State -108
Virginia vs. Florida State betting lines
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: -186
- Florida State moneyline odds to win: +154
- Spread: Virginia (-4.5)
- Total: 136.5
Virginia statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Virginia has a worse record against the spread at home (7-9-0) than it does on the road (5-5-0).
- The Cavaliers have eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (50%) than road tilts (80%).
Recent trends
- The Cavaliers have seen an increase in scoring lately, putting up 70.5 points per game in their last 10 outings, 5.6 points more than the 64.9 they’ve scored this year.
- Virginia’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (71.5) is 4.9 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (66.6).
- Over their past 10 contests, the Cavaliers are making 0.9 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.3 compared to 8.4 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.6% compared to 37.7% season-long).
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-16-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 4-5-0; As Underdog: 9-11-0)
- O-U-P: 18-11-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 8-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 8-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-14 (Home: 1-6; Away: 4-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.9 (174th in nation) | 44.0 (187th) | 27.2 (352nd) | 29.8 (98th) | 15.1 (84th) | 9.2 (18th) |
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Florida State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Florida State has a better winning percentage at home (.600, 9-6-0 record) than on the road (.300, 3-7-0).
- In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Seminoles’ games have finished above the over/under at home (46.7%, seven of 15) compared to away (60%, six of 10).
- The Seminoles’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .250, both at home (1-3) and on the road (2-6).
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Seminoles are scoring 70.3 points per contest, compared to their season average of 75.4.
- Florida State is allowing 78.4 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 5.2 more points than it is allowing for the season (73.2).
- Over their past 10 games, the Seminoles are sinking 5.8 three-pointers per contest, 0.4 fewer threes than their season average (6.2). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (30.4%) compared to their season average (31.9%).
Florida State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 2-7-0 (As Favorite: 11-5-0; As Underdog: 4-9-0)
- O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-4 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 (126th in nation) | 41.8 (67th) | 31.2 (223rd) | 31.9 (230th) | 13.3 (209th) | 12.3 (280th) |
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