The No. 17 Virginia Cavaliers (16-3, 5-2 ACC) are 9.5-point favorites as they attempt to continue a three-game road winning streak when they take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-9, 2-5 ACC) on Tuesday, January 27, 2026 at Purcell Pavilion. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 145 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Virginia Cover -9.5 vs Notre Dame -112
Virginia vs. Notre Dame betting lines
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: -535
- Notre Dame moneyline odds to win: +395
- Spread: Virginia (-9.5)
- Total: 145
Virginia statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Virginia has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered six times in 11 games at home, and it has covered four times in five games on the road.
- Looking at over/unders, the Cavaliers hit the over less consistently when playing at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total four times in 11 opportunities this season (36.4%). In away games, they have hit the over two times in five opportunities (40%).
- Virginia has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 8-1 (.889). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 1-1 (.500).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Cavaliers have been scoring 80.5 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 83.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- The last 10 games have seen Virginia allow 0.3 fewer points per game (67.7) than its season-long average (68.0).
- Over their last 10 contests, the Cavaliers are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.1 compared to 10.4 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (34.2% compared to 36.7% season-long).
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-7-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 4-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-7-0; As Underdog: 3-0-0)
- O-U-P: 8-11-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 8-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (73rd in nation) | 38.7 (ninth) | 38.4 (ninth) | 29.1 (76th) | 17.3 (39th) | 10.5 (107th) |
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Notre Dame statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This year, Notre Dame is 5-6-0 at home against the spread (.455 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-2-0 ATS (.667).
- Fighting Irish games have finished above the over/under 72.7% of the time at home (eight of 11), and 66.7% of the time away (four of six).
- The Fighting Irish, when moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (1-2) as on the road (2-4) this season.
Recent trends
- The Fighting Irish are scoring 69.2 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 3.7 fewer points than their average for the season (72.9).
- In its previous 10 games, Notre Dame is giving up 70.8 points per contest, 0.7 more points than its season average (70.1).
- The Fighting Irish are making 0.4 fewer treys per game over their previous 10 games (8.0) compared to their season average (8.4), and they are putting up a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (34.5%) compared to their season mark (35.2%).
Notre Dame betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-10-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-5-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
- O-U-P: 12-8-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 7-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 (221st in nation) | 42.2 (92nd) | 34.6 (82nd) | 27.9 (34th) | 11.9 (319th) | 11.1 (157th) |
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