The No. 23 Virginia Cavaliers (13-2, 2-1 ACC) are heavily favored (by 11.5 points) to continue a six-game home winning streak when they host the Stanford Cardinal (13-3, 2-1 ACC) on Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 2:15 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 144.5 points.
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Virginia Cover -11.5 vs Stanford -110
Virginia vs. Stanford betting lines
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: -800
- Stanford moneyline odds to win: +548
- Spread: Virginia (-11.5)
- Total: 144.5
Virginia statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Virginia did a better job covering the spread in road games (5-6-0) than it did at home (7-10-0) last season.
- The Cavaliers went over the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (47.1%) than away games (81.8%) last year.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Cavaliers have been scoring 84.5 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 86.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Virginia’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 69.0 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 67.6 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- During their last 10 contests, the Cavaliers are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.8 compared to 10.5 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (37.9% compared to 37.2% season-long).
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-6-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 7-6-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
- O-U-P: 7-8-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 7-0; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (55th in nation) | 38.4 (14th) | 38.7 (13th) | 29.4 (100th) | 17.6 (37th) | 10.4 (90th) |
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Stanford statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Stanford performed better against the spread at home (11-7-0) than on the road (3-8-0) last year.
- In 2024-25, a lower percentage of the Cardinal’s games finished above the over/under at home (38.9%, seven of 18) compared to on the road (45.5%, five of 11).
Recent trends
- While the Cardinal are putting up 78.3 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, producing 76.2 points per contest.
- In its past 10 games, Stanford is surrendering 70.5 points per contest, compared to its season average of 70.7 points allowed.
- The Cardinal are draining 9.1 threes per contest with a 36.5% three-point percentage over their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.6 and 34.4%.
Stanford betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-7-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 6-10-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 7-3; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-0 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.4 (277th in nation) | 44.8 (257th) | 32.1 (227th) | 29.9 (123rd) | 12.1 (316th) | 10.1 (58th) |
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