VMI vs. Citadel betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 17

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The VMI Keydets (6-12, 1-4 SoCon) are 5.5-point favorites as they look to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Citadel Bulldogs (4-14, 1-4 SoCon) on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Cameron Hall. The contest airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 142 points.

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Spread

VMI Cover -5.5 vs Citadel -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

VMI vs. Citadel betting lines

  • VMI moneyline odds to win: -258
  • Citadel moneyline odds to win: +208
  • Spread: VMI (-5.5)
  • Total: 142

VMI statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • VMI has done a better job covering the spread in road games (4-4-0) than it has at home (2-3-0).
  • When it comes to point totals, the Keydets hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total two times in five opportunities this season (40%). In away games, they have hit the over four times in eight opportunities (50%).

Recent trends

  • The Keydets have seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 68.9 points per game in their last 10 contests, 5.2 points fewer than the 74.1 they’ve scored this year.
  • VMI’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (74.2) is 1.7 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (75.9).
  • The Keydets’ last 10 contests have seen them make 9.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 30.7% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are down from their 2025-26 averages of 10.9 makes and 32.5%.

VMI betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-9-0 (Home: 2-3-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-9-0 (Home: 2-3-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-11 (Home: 2-3; Away: 0-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.0 (351st in nation) 44.1 (203rd) 32.4 (207th) 36.5 (357th) 12.8 (275th) 10.1 (69th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on VMI vs. Citadel? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Citadel statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Citadel has had better results away (4-4-0) than at home (2-4-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Bulldogs games have gone over 50% of the time this year, both at home (three of six) and away (four of eight).
  • The Bulldogs’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .200 (1-4), and on the road it is .000 (0-8).

Recent trends

  • While the Bulldogs are putting up 69.8 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, amassing 69.3 points per contest.
  • Citadel is ceding 80.1 points per game over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 77.9 points allowed.
  • The Bulldogs are draining 9.6 treys per contest with a 32.9% three-point percentage over their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 9.5 and 32.6%.

Citadel betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-9-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 0-1-0; As Underdog: 6-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-8-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-1 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-13 (Home: 1-4; Away: 0-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.3 (314th in nation) 48.1 (342nd) 30.2 (285th) 30.8 (163rd) 12.3 (301st) 10.6 (114th)
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