Wagner vs. Chicago State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 28

Data Skrive

The Wagner Seahawks (12-16, 7-10 NEC) are 4.5-point favorites as they look to build on a three-game win streak when they host the Chicago State Cougars (7-23, 5-12 NEC) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Spiro Sports Center. The contest airs at 1 p.m. ET on NEC Front Row. The matchup has an over/under of 135.5 points.

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Wagner Cover -4.5 vs Chicago State -120

Bet $20, Payout $36.67

Wagner vs. Chicago State betting lines

  • Wagner moneyline odds to win: -225
  • Chicago State moneyline odds to win: +181
  • Spread: Wagner (-4.5)
  • Total: 135.5

Wagner statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • When playing at home, Wagner sports a worse record against the spread (4-5-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (10-6-0).
  • The Seahawks have eclipsed the total in four of nine home games (44.4%). They’ve fared better in road games, going over the total in 10 of 16 matchups (62.5%).
  • Wagner has performed worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 2-3, compared to going 2-0 away from home.

Recent trends

  • The Seahawks have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 67.9 points per game in their last 10 outings, 3.7 points fewer than the 71.6 they’ve scored this season.
  • Wagner’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (70.1) is 2.7 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (72.8).
  • During their past 10 outings, the Seahawks are making 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.0 compared to 7.4 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (33.0% compared to 34.9% season-long).

Wagner betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 10-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 4-3-0; As Underdog: 10-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 10-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 2-3; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-13 (Home: 2-2; Away: 3-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.8 (272nd in nation) 43.6 (139th) 33.8 (89th) 30.0 (117th) 12.5 (277th) 12.6 (317th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Wagner vs. Chicago State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Chicago State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Chicago State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .600 (6-4-0). Away, it is .421 (8-11-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Cougars games have gone over three of 10 times at home (30%), and 10 of 19 away (52.6%).
  • This year the Cougars are 3-5 at home as moneyline underdogs (.375 winning percentage). On the road they are 2-17 (.105).

Recent trends

  • While the Cougars are putting up 65.6 points per game in 2025-26, they have improved that mark over their last 10 games, producing 66.3 a contest.
  • In its previous 10 games, Chicago State is giving up 66.5 points per contest, 9.3 fewer points than its season average (75.8).
  • The Cougars are sinking 6.9 three-pointers per game over their past 10 games, which is 1.0 more than their average for the season (5.9). Likewise, they own a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.7%) compared to their season average from downtown (32.0%).

Chicago State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 8-11-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 9-11-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 13-14-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 10-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-1 (Home: 1-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-22 (Home: 3-5; Away: 2-17)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.3 (354th in nation) 47.1 (321st) 27.0 (356th) 32.5 (271st) 11.7 (322nd) 9.7 (51st)
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