West Virginia vs. UCF betting: College basketball preview for March 6

Data Skrive

The West Virginia Mountaineers (17-13, 8-9 Big 12) are at home in Big 12 action against the UCF Knights (20-9, 9-8 Big 12) on Friday, March 6, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The Mountaineers are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 141.5 points.

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West Virginia Cover -3.5 vs UCF -125

Bet $20, Payout $36.00

West Virginia vs. UCF betting lines

  • West Virginia moneyline odds to win: -157
  • UCF moneyline odds to win: +133
  • Spread: West Virginia (-3.5)
  • Total: 141.5

West Virginia statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, West Virginia has performed better when playing at home, covering nine times in 17 home games, and three times in nine road games.
  • The Mountaineers have hit the over on the total in five of 17 home games (29.4%), compared to two of nine road games (22.2%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, West Virginia has picked up the win in 11 of 13 games at home, good for a .846 winning percentage. It has won zero of one game away from home (.000) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Mountaineers have been scoring 64.4 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 69.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • West Virginia’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has allowed 65.6 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 64.7 points per game its opponents average this season.
  • The Mountaineers are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 6.2 threes per game and shooting 26.7% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.8 makes and 33.1% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

West Virginia betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 3-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 6-7-0 (As Favorite: 7-10-0; As Underdog: 7-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-20-0 (Home: 5-12-0; Away: 2-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 11-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-8 (Home: 2-1; Away: 3-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.2 (241st in nation) 41.6 (49th) 31.4 (220th) 29.5 (89th) 12.8 (260th) 10.5 (135th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on West Virginia vs. UCF? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

UCF statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • UCF’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .444 (8-10-0). Away, it is .556 (5-4-0).
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Knights’ games have finished above the over/under at home (55.6%, 10 of 18) compared to away (33.3%, three of nine).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Knights have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-2) than away (5-4).

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the Knights are putting up 80.3 points per contest, compared to their season average of 82.9.
  • UCF has played worse defensively in its last 10 games, allowing 82.5 points per contest, 3.6 more points than its season average of 78.9.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Knights are making 7.5 threes per game, 0.8 fewer threes than their season average (8.3). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (38.1%) compared to their season average (38.2%).

UCF betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 8-10-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 4-10-0; As Underdog: 10-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-15-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 3-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 10-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 9-6 (Home: 3-2; Away: 5-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.8 (43rd in nation) 45.9 (272nd) 33.2 (109th) 29.5 (89th) 16.4 (48th) 11.0 (195th)
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