Western Kentucky vs. Florida International betting: College basketball preview for March 6

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Florida International Panthers (9-20, 3-13 CUSA) are 7.5-point underdogs as they attempt to break an eight-game road slide when they square off against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (16-13, 7-9 CUSA) on Thursday, March 6, 2025 at E. A. Diddle Arena. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is set at 145.

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Western Kentucky Cover -7.5 vs Florida International -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Western Kentucky vs. Florida International betting lines

  • Western Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -318
  • Florida International moneyline odds to win: +255
  • Spread: Western Kentucky (-7.5)
  • Total: 145

Western Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Western Kentucky has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered seven times in 15 games when playing at home, and it has covered seven times in 13 games when playing on the road.
  • The Hilltoppers have eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of home games (53.3%) than games on the road (23.1%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Western Kentucky has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.714) compared to road games (.500).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Hilltoppers have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 73.6 points per contest over that span compared to the 75.8 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
  • Western Kentucky’s defense has been tougher lately, as the team has given up 73.6 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 74.9 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • During their last 10 outings, the Hilltoppers are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.6 compared to 8.3 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (34.0% compared to 33.5% season-long).

Western Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-14-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-9-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-17-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 3-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 10-4; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.7 (294th in nation) 40.9 (40th) 33.3 (98th) 37.3 (361st) 12.0 (294th) 10.8 (140th)

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Florida International statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Florida International has had better results away (6-5-0) than at home (4-9-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Panthers games have finished over more often at home (six of 13, 46.2%) than away (three of 11, 27.3%).
  • In 2024-25 as moneyline underdogs, the Panthers have a better winning percentage at home (.300, 3-7 record) than away (.000, 0-10).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Panthers are scoring 66.0 points per game, compared to their season average of 70.4.
  • Florida International has fared worse defensively over its last 10 games, giving up 74.6 points per contest, 2.2 more points than its season average of 72.4.
  • The Panthers are making 4.2 three-pointers per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.8 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (5.0). In addition, they sport a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (26.8%) compared to their season average from downtown (29.0%).

Florida International betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-14-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 2-5-0 (As Favorite: 3-2-0; As Underdog: 9-12-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-16-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 3-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-1 (Home: 2-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-18 (Home: 3-7; Away: 0-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.4 (258th in nation) 44.5 (216th) 31.0 (238th) 29.5 (79th) 12.6 (258th) 13.6 (341st)
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