Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 14

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Data Skrive

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (13-11, 6-7 CUSA) host the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (12-12, 6-7 CUSA) in a matchup of CUSA teams at E. A. Diddle Arena, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 14, 2026. The Hilltoppers are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under in the matchup is set at 144.5.

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Western Kentucky Cover -3.5 vs Middle Tennessee -106

Bet $20, Payout $38.87

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee betting lines

  • Western Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -166
  • Middle Tennessee moneyline odds to win: +137
  • Spread: Western Kentucky (-3.5)
  • Total: 144.5

Western Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Western Kentucky has a worse record against the spread at home (5-6-0) than it does on the road (4-4-0).
  • The Hilltoppers have exceeded the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in five of 11 home matchups (45.5%). On the road, they have hit the over in two of eight games (25%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Western Kentucky has won seven of nine games at home, good for a .778 winning percentage. It has won two of three games away from home (.667) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Hilltoppers have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 69.1 points per game in their last 10 outings, 8.2 points fewer than the 77.3 they’ve scored this year.
  • Western Kentucky’s defense has been tougher lately, as the team has given up 71.1 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 74.4 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • Over their past 10 outings, the Hilltoppers are making 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.1 compared to 8.5 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (31.0% compared to 32.7% season-long).

Western Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-10-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 6-6-0; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-14-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 2-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 7-2; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-8 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
39.4 (362nd in nation) 42.0 (70th) 36.2 (31st) 33.7 (318th) 12.9 (265th) 9.9 (60th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Middle Tennessee statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Middle Tennessee has a lower winning percentage at home (.222, 2-7-0 record) than on the road (.556, 5-4-0).
  • Both at home (four of nine) and on the road (four of nine), the Blue Raiders’ games have gone over (in terms of the over/under) 44.4% of the time.
  • The Blue Raiders’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .333 (1-2), and on the road it is .600 (3-2).

Recent trends

  • The Blue Raiders have played worse offensively over their last 10 games, compiling 73.2 points per contest, 2.1 fewer points their than season average of 75.3.
  • Middle Tennessee has performed worse defensively over its past 10 games, allowing 76.9 points per contest, 4.4 more points than its season average of 72.5.
  • The Blue Raiders are making 0.9 fewer three-pointers per contest in their past 10 games (8.8) compared to their season average (9.7), and they are posting a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (33.8%) compared to their season mark (34.7%).

Middle Tennessee betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-13-0 (Home: 2-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 5-2-0 (As Favorite: 1-9-0; As Underdog: 7-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-6 (Home: 4-2; Away: 0-4)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-6 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.3 (238th in nation) 43.8 (165th) 32.9 (137th) 31.6 (219th) 14.4 (152nd) 10.5 (117th)
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