The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (10-6, 3-2 CUSA) host the Missouri State Bears (10-6, 4-1 CUSA) in a matchup of CUSA teams at E. A. Diddle Arena, tipping off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 14, 2026. The Bears are 6.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 148.5.
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Western Kentucky Cover -6.5 vs Missouri State -113
Western Kentucky vs. Missouri State betting lines
- Western Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -304
- Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +241
- Spread: Western Kentucky (-6.5)
- Total: 148.5
Western Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Western Kentucky sports a better record against the spread in home games (3-3-0) than it does on the road (2-3-0).
- The Hilltoppers have eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of games at home (66.7%) than games on the road (40%).
- Western Kentucky has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 5-0 (1.000). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 2-1 (.667).
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Hilltoppers have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 76.6 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 81.0 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- Western Kentucky has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 73.3 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 75.7 it has conceded per game this season.
- The Hilltoppers are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 9.3 threes per game and shooting 33.9% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.3 makes and 32.9% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Western Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-6-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 7-7-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-1 (Home: 5-0; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.9 (337th in nation) | 41.5 (75th) | 37.3 (31st) | 33.4 (295th) | 13.3 (250th) | 10.4 (87th) |
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Missouri State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Missouri State is 5-3-0 at home against the spread (.625 winning percentage). Away, it is 1-4-0 ATS (.200).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bears’ games have finished above the over/under at home (37.5%, three of eight) compared to on the road (40%, two of five).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Bears are compiling 74.4 points per game, compared to their season average of 75.4.
- While Missouri State is allowing 70.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 71.2 points per contest.
- In their previous 10 games, the Bears are making 8.2 treys per game, 0.9 more than their season average (7.3). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (35.5%) compared to their season average (30.9%).
Missouri State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-7-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 1-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-3-0; As Underdog: 1-4-0)
- O-U-P: 5-8-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-2 (Home: 6-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.9 (214th in nation) | 43.3 (163rd) | 32.0 (226th) | 31.0 (179th) | 14.2 (187th) | 10.9 (130th) |
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