NFL playoff action in the AFC Divisional Round features Kansas City Chiefs and Xavier Worthy facing the Houston Texans at 4:30 PM ET on Saturday. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Worthy’s matchup.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Xavier Worthy to go over 52.5 yards
Xavier Worthy Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans
- Time: 4:30 PM ET
- Date: January 18, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 5.5 (-120)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 52.5 (-115)
Xavier Worthy Stats and Trends
- Worthy has a 638-yard campaign on 59 catches with six scores so far. He has been targeted on 98 occasions, and averages 39.9 yards.
- Worthy picks up 39.9 receiving yards per game, 12.6 fewer than his over/under set for Saturday’s outing.
- Worthy has totaled over 52.5 receiving yards in 31.2% of his opportunities this season (five out of 16).
- He picks up 39.9 receiving yards per game, 3.9 more than his average prop total (36).
- In eight of 15 games, Worthy has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet.
- He has six games with a touchdown catch this season, out of 16 played, but only a single TD each time.
Recent Performances vs. the Texans
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 199 | 2 |
| 2 | Bears | 134 | 0 |
| 3 | Vikings | 156 | 4 |
| 4 | Jaguars | 155 | 2 |
| 5 | Bills | 126 | 1 |
| 6 | Patriots | 209 | 3 |
| 7 | Packers | 195 | 3 |
| 8 | Colts | 140 | 1 |
| 9 | Jets | 193 | 3 |
| 10 | Lions | 240 | 2 |
| 11 | Cowboys | 324 | 1 |
| 12 | Titans | 237 | 2 |
| 13 | Jaguars | 276 | 2 |
| 15 | Dolphins | 172 | 1 |
| 16 | Chiefs | 251 | 1 |
| 17 | Ravens | 181 | 2 |
| 18 | Titans | 229 | 1 |
| Playoffs | Chargers | 211 | 1 |
Chiefs Home Splits
- In home games, the Chiefs score 23.8 points per game and concede 18.6. That’s more than they score overall (22.6), but less than they give up (19.2).
- At home, the Chiefs rack up 348.1 yards per game and give up 321.1. That’s more than they gain (327.6) and allow (320.6) overall.
- In home games, the Chiefs rack up 245.1 passing yards per game and give up 224.6. That’s more than they gain (222.4) and allow (218.8) overall.
- At home, the Chiefs rack up 103 rushing yards per game and concede 96.5. That’s less than they gain (105.3) and allow (101.8) overall.
- At home, the Chiefs convert 47.7% of third downs and allow 43.4% to be converted. That’s less than they convert overall (48.5%), and more than they allow (43.3%).
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