GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium features Week 4 action as the Kansas City Chiefs and Xavier Worthy take on the Baltimore Ravens at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday. With prop bets set for Worthy in this outing, let’s dig into the stats and trends that will help determine the best bets for this game.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Xavier Worthy to go over 47.5 yards
Xavier Worthy Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: September 28, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 47.5 (-113)
Xavier Worthy Stats and Trends
- Worthy filled up his receiving stat line last year, compiling 59 receptions for 638 yards and six TDs. He was targeted 98 times and produced 39.9 yards per game.
- Worthy put up 39.9 receiving yards per game a year ago (7.6 fewer yards than the over/under of 47.5 in Sunday’s outing).
- In 31.2% of his games last year (five of 16), Worthy collected more than 47.5 receiving yards.
- He collected 1.6 more receiving yards per game (39.9) than his average over/under last season, which was 38.3 yards per game.
- Last year, Worthy hit the over on receiving yards prop bets in nine of his 16 games (56.2%).
- He had a receiving touchdown in six of 16 games last year, but he failed to have a game with multiple receiving TDs.
Last Season Performances vs. the Ravens
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs | 281 | 1 |
| 2 | Raiders | 233 | 1 |
| 3 | Cowboys | 361 | 2 |
| 4 | Bills | 155 | 0 |
| 5 | Bengals | 371 | 5 |
| 6 | Commanders | 253 | 2 |
| 7 | Buccaneers | 356 | 3 |
| 8 | Browns | 321 | 3 |
| 9 | Broncos | 197 | 1 |
| 10 | Bengals | 421 | 4 |
| 11 | Steelers | 181 | 0 |
| 12 | Chargers | 202 | 0 |
| 13 | Eagles | 112 | 1 |
| 15 | Giants | 181 | 1 |
| 16 | Steelers | 198 | 2 |
| 17 | Texans | 153 | 0 |
| 18 | Browns | 174 | 1 |
| Playoffs | Steelers | 251 | 2 |
| Playoffs | Bills | 126 | 0 |
Chiefs Home Splits (Last Season)
- The Chiefs scored 23.8 points per game at home (1.2 more than their overall average), and gave up 18.6 at home (0.6 less than overall).
- The Chiefs racked up 348.1 yards per game at home (20.5 more than their overall average), and conceded 321.1 at home (0.5 more than overall).
- At home, the Chiefs racked up 245.1 passing yards per game and conceded 224.6. That’s more than they gained (222.4) and allowed (218.8) overall.
- The Chiefs’ averages of rushing yards gained (103) and allowed (96.5) at home were both lower than their overall averages of 105.3 and 101.8, respectively.
- At home, the Chiefs converted 47.7% of third downs and allowed 43.4% to be converted. That’s less than they converted overall (48.5%), and more than they allowed (43.3%).
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