How to Bet Odds
Become a Sports Odds Betting Expert
When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT. It was easy.
So even though no one gets into sports or sports betting because they love math, an appreciation for and an ability to understand mathematics comes with the territory. That’s because this is fun math. It tells us how many points our favorite team needs to win and how much money our winning bet is going to put in our pockets.
If, however, you are new to the math of sports odds, not to worry. You will soon be a sports odds betting expert.
Sports Betting Odds Basics
Being able to quickly recognize posted odds for what they mean is important for a couple of main reasons. First, being able to immediately know who the sportsbook considers to be the favorite in a matchup helps you dial in on a strategy. If you’re looking for favorites or underdogs to fade, a quick scan of the board will direct your focus.
Second, with a greater understanding of odds, you can figure out at a glance just how much each bet would pay, helping you find the best values on the board. It’s not only about finding the teams you think will win. You want to find the teams that come with a potential payday that overshadows the potential risk of the bet.
With packed schedules on Saturdays and Sundays, and you trying to parse all of the football, basketball, and hockey bets that might be on the board at the same time, saving time, especially when the game kicks or tips off in a matter of minutes, is invaluable.
Basic Odds Rules
Each bet you place is fixed at the time you make it. If you place a bet at +175, but those odds change between the time you place the bet and the time the game begins, the odds on your ticket won’t change. You will always and only play the odds that were posted at the time of your wager.
For understanding payouts, all sports betting odds will pay on a “to one” basis. That means that when cashing in your winning ticket, you will get back the original cost of your bet along with the calculated winnings. If your bet was for $50 and your winnings totaled $75, cashing out your winning ticket will result in a payment of $125.
The Three Types of Odds
At American sportsbooks, you are going to encounter American odds, naturally. But there are different types of odds that are used worldwide, and it’s good to have a background in all three kinds so you can better understand all of the ways that sports betting is done and all the ways winnings are calculated.
Most of Europe and Asia use what is called decimal odds. They are fairly easy to read and understand, and the potential payout of a win is also simple to calculate.
Let’s say you are betting on English Premier League football (soccer), and you are using a British-based sportsbook. Here are the odds you’ll see.
- Liverpool (1.50)
- Everton (2.60)
For decimal odds, anything under 2.0 means that team is the favorite. Over 2.0, and that team is the underdog. So here in the Merseyside derby, it is Liverpool that is the favorite to beat its local rival.
At 2.60, that means a winning bet on Everton comes with a total return of $2.60 for every $1 you bet. Remember, that’s a total return, and it includes the original $1 that you wagered, plus $1.60 in winnings.
A bet on Liverpool comes with a total return of $1.50 for every $1 that is wagered. That’s the original wager returned plus $0.50 in profit.
As you can see, calculating the payout with decimal odds is quite easy. There is no real math involved, and you can see exactly how much each bet returns based on what you wager.
Seen far less across the sports betting world, fractional odds are mostly reserved now for horse racing. However, you will also see them in the UK and Ireland when decimal odds aren’t used.
And as decimal odds show you how much you can win per $1 wagered, fractional odds show the ratio of profit compared to your original stake.
- If the odds read 2/1, then you will win $2 for every $1 you wager.
- If the odds on your horse read 5/2, then it’s $5 in profit for every $2 wagered.
- At 5/2, and with a $2 wager, you would receive a total of $7 back on your bet.
One key in deciding how much value there is in a bet is figuring out the implied probability of a result. Using American and decimal odds, this can be a little more challenging.
With fractional odds, if you can read a fraction, you can calculate the implied probability of your bet winning. If the odds read 4/1, oddsmakers are telling you that if the race was to be run five times, or the game was to be played five times, that horse or team would win once and lose four times.
It’s also important not just to know how to read fractional odds but how to hear and say them. If you see a favorite listed at 2/3, you wouldn’t say “two-thirds.” Those odds are read as two-to-three. Odds listed at 5/2 are said five-to-two.
Throughout North American, these are the odds you are most likely to encounter. Although it’s worth noting that almost all online and mobile sportsbooks allow you to change how your odds are displayed, so if you find that you prefer decimal or fractional odds, you can use those instead.
American odds are also called moneyline odds, so if you’re familiar with betting the moneyline, you’re already an expert on American odds. And as you know, because of the numbers that are posted, American odds are based on $100.
As posted, the odds look like this:
- Dolphins (+115)
- Ravens (-135)
Because of the minus sign in front of the 135 on the Ravens, that means that in this game, the Ravens are the favorite. They pay less money than what you wager, and for this bet, you would need to wager $135 in order to win $100. Of course, you can wager any amount you want, but that is the ratio at which your winnings will be calculated.
The Dolphins are the underdog in this game, and the plus-sign means that if you were to wager $100 on Miami, a winning bet pays out $115.
To calculate your actual payouts based on what you wager, there is a formula that you can use. If you are betting on the favorite (minus-sign), divide 100 by the odds, then multiply that by your wager amount. If you were to place $200 on the Ravens, you would win $148, giving you a total payout of $348.
If you are betting on the underdog (plus-sign) to win, divide the odds by 100, then multiply that by your wager amount. If you were to place a $200 bet on the Dolphins, you would win $230, giving you a total payout of $430.
Why Odds Move
Like point spreads, odds on a game are subject to moves in one direction or another. But why is that? Why are the odds you see on a Tuesday before an NFL Sunday different from what you’ll see shortly before kickoff?
Injury news might change the odds. In rare cases, a new weather report might cause them to change. But generally speaking, odds move, not because of any news that broke or anything the sportsbook did, but because of how the public is betting.
A sportsbook never wants to see heavy betting on one side of a game and only light betting on the other. This opens up their liability, and that is something every sportsbook on planet earth is trying to avoid.
Sportsbooks are guaranteed money upfront in what they take as juice, also known as vig. If a sportsbook can get 50% of the bets on both sides of a game, they are guaranteed to make money. Only when the betting is unequal can they lose.
So if all of the bets come in on the Ravens at -135, in order to stimulate more betting on the Dolphins, a sportsbook will raise the Ravens number (lowering the payout) and give the Dolphins a higher potential payout.
Always remember, the sportsbook does not care who wins. Nor should their posted odds be seen as a prediction on who might win.
When a sportsbook places odds, it is only motivated by keeping the betting equal and limiting their liability. That is how they make money, and that is why they are in business.
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Sports Betting How To Guide
How Money Line Works?
Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.
How to Bet Odds
When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.
How to Bet on NFL Games
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If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing. The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …