Brian Robinson Jr. and the Washington Commanders take the field against the NFC’s Atlanta Falcons in a Week 17 NFL matchup at 8:20 PM ET Sunday. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Robinson’s contest.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Brian Robinson Jr. to go over 65.5 yards
Brian Robinson Jr. Prop Lines
- Matchup: Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Date: December 29, 2024
- Rushing yards prop: Over 65.5 (-115)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 12.5 (-115)
Brian Robinson Jr. Stats and Trends
- This season Robinson has taken 169 carries for 729 yards (60.8 ypg) while scoring eight rushing TDs.
- Robinson averages 60.8 rushing yards, 4.7 less than Sunday’s over/under.
- Robinson has gained over 65.5 yards on the ground in four of 12 games.
- Oddsmakers have set his rushing yards over/under at 59 on average. He has barely bettered it by racking up 60.8 rushing yards per game.
- Robinson has topped his rushing yards over/under in five of 11 games (45.5%).
- He has scored multiple rushing touchdowns once this season. He has scored on the ground in seven games in all.
- In addition, Robinson has racked up 17 catches for 144 yards (12.0 ypg).
Recent Performances vs. the Falcons
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steelers | 137 | 0 |
| 2 | Eagles | 186 | 1 |
| 3 | Chiefs | 128 | 0 |
| 4 | Saints | 131 | 3 |
| 5 | Buccaneers | 160 | 0 |
| 6 | Panthers | 114 | 0 |
| 7 | Seahawks | 103 | 1 |
| 8 | Buccaneers | 101 | 0 |
| 9 | Cowboys | 137 | 0 |
| 10 | Saints | 96 | 0 |
| 11 | Broncos | 105 | 1 |
| 13 | Chargers | 56 | 0 |
| 14 | Vikings | 115 | 1 |
| 15 | Raiders | 65 | 0 |
| 16 | Giants | 45 | 0 |
Commanders Home Splits
- The Commanders put up 30.5 points per game in home games (1.7 more than their overall average), and concede 20.9 at home (2.3 less than overall).
- The Commanders accumulate 405.8 yards per game at home (32.3 more than their overall average), and concede 278.8 at home (44.1 less than overall).
- In home games, the Commanders accumulate 231.1 passing yards per game and concede 153.6. That’s more than they gain overall (220.9), and less than they allow (185.9).
- The Commanders’ average yards rushing at home (174.6) is higher than their overall average (152.7). And their average yards allowed at home (125.1) is lower than overall (137).
- The Commanders’ offensive third-down percentage in home games (45.9%) is higher than their overall average (45.5%). Their defensive third-down percentage at home (27.6%) is lower than overall (38.9%).
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