The No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (23-5, 10-5 SEC) are 4.5-point favorites as they attempt to continue a three-game winning streak when they host the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (23-5, 12-3 SEC) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Thompson-Boling Arena. The game airs at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under set at 158.5 points.

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Tennessee vs. Alabama betting lines

• Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -182
• Alabama moneyline odds to win: +151
• Spread: Tennessee (-4.5)
• Total: 158.5

Tennessee statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Tennessee has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered nine times in 15 opportunities at home, and it has covered five times in 10 opportunities in road games.
• The Volunteers have exceeded the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in eight of 15 home matchups (53.3%). On the road, they have hit the over in three of 10 games (30%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Tennessee has picked up the win in 13 of 14 games at home, good for a .929 winning percentage. It has won four of six games on the road (.667) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

• The Volunteers have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 69.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 4.5 points fewer than the 74.3 they’ve scored this year.
• Tennessee’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 64.3 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 60.8 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
• The Volunteers are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 8.1 threes per game and shooting 33.6% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.5 makes and 34.4% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Tennessee betting records this season

• ATS Record: 16-12-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 5-5-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 11-10-0 (As Favorite: 13-11-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
• O-U-P: 11-17-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 3-7-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-3 (Home: 13-1; Away: 4-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)

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Alabama statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• This year, Alabama is 8-6-0 at home against the spread (.571 winning percentage). Away, it is 6-4-0 ATS (.600).
• Crimson Tide games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (six times out of 14) than on the road (seven of 10) this year.

Recent trends

• In their previous 10 games, the Crimson Tide are putting up 93.9 points per contest, 2.4 more than their season average (91.5).
• Alabama has performed worse defensively over its last 10 games, giving up 83.4 points per contest, 3.3 more points than its season average of 80.1.
• The Crimson Tide are sinking 11.4 treys per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.8 more than their average for the season (10.6). Likewise, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (40.3%) compared to their season average from downtown (35%).

Alabama betting records this season

• ATS Record: 16-12-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 12-11-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
• O-U-P: 16-12-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 7-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 5-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)