MetLife Stadium features Week 15 action as the Washington Commanders and Deebo Samuel face off against the New York Giants at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Samuel’s outing.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Deebo Samuel to go over 42.5 yards
Deebo Samuel Prop Lines
- Matchup: Washington Commanders at New York Giants
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 14, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 42.5 (-110)
Deebo Samuel Stats and Trends
- Samuel has caught 62 passes on 81 targets for a team-best 561 yards and five scores. He averages 46.8 yards per game.
- Samuel averages 46.8 receiving yards, 4.3 more than the over/under of 42.5 set for Sunday.
- In 50.0% of his games this season (six of 12), Samuel has collected over 42.5 receiving yards.
- His average over/under for receiving yards is 49.7. But he is accumulating 2.9 fewer per game than that.
- In five of 12 games, Samuel has hit the over on his receiving yards prop bet.
- In five of 12 games this season, he has a touchdown catch, but no games with more than one.
Recent Performances vs. the Giants
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Commanders | 212 | 1 |
| 2 | Cowboys | 343 | 2 |
| 3 | Chiefs | 201 | 1 |
| 4 | Chargers | 186 | 1 |
| 5 | Saints | 244 | 1 |
| 6 | Eagles | 266 | 1 |
| 7 | Broncos | 265 | 2 |
| 8 | Eagles | 151 | 4 |
| 9 | 49ers | 221 | 2 |
| 10 | Bears | 220 | 1 |
| 11 | Packers | 168 | 3 |
| 12 | Lions | 257 | 2 |
| 13 | Patriots | 276 | 2 |
Commanders Away Splits
- On the road, the Commanders average fewer points (16.3 per game) than they do overall (20.2). But they also concede fewer on the road (27.1) than overall (27.2).
- On the road, the Commanders pick up fewer yards (299.9 per game) than they do overall (327.5). But they also concede fewer away from home (377.1) than overall (382.5).
- On the road, the Commanders accumulate fewer passing yards (180.4 per game) than they do overall (191). But they also allow fewer passing yards away from home (227.3) than overall (246.9).
- The Commanders pick up fewer rushing yards in away games (119.4 per game) than they do overall (136.5), and give up more (149.9 per game) than overall (135.5).
- The Commanders successfully convert fewer third downs in away games (37.8%) than they do overall (39.1%) and allow opponents to convert on more third downs in road games (47.6%) than overall (43%).
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