The South Florida Bulls (8-6, 0-1 AAC) visit the North Texas Mean Green (10-5, 1-1 AAC) after losing three road games in a row. The Bulls are favored by 4.5 points in the contest, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 7, 2026. The matchup has a point total of 144.5.
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South Florida Cover -4.5 vs North Texas -121
South Florida vs. North Texas betting lines
- South Florida moneyline odds to win: -228
- North Texas moneyline odds to win: +187
- Spread: South Florida (-4.5)
- Total: 144.5
South Florida statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- South Florida did a better job covering the spread on the road (5-7-0) than it did in home games (4-10-0) last season.
- When playing at home last year, the Bulls exceed the total 28.6% of the time (four of 14 games). They hit the over more often in road games, exceeding the total in 33.3% of games (four of 12).
- At home last year, South Florida won more often as a moneyline favorite, put up a record of 8-2 (.800). On the road, it was 0-2 (.000) as a moneyline favorite.
Last season stats
- With 74.4 points scored per game and 74.5 points conceded last season, the Bulls were 155th in college basketball on offense and 251st defensively.
- South Florida was 214th in the country in rebounds per game (31.3) and 15th-worst in rebounds allowed (34.6) last season.
- Last season the Bulls were ranked 119th in the nation in assists with 14.3 per game.
South Florida betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-7-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-5-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 8-5-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 3-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 5-1; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 (236th in nation) | 42.8 (148th) | 38.9 (14th) | 32.9 (276th) | 17.9 (34th) | 11.2 (150th) |
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North Texas statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- North Texas’ winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (3-3-0). Away, it is .750 (3-1-0).
- Mean Green games have gone above the over/under 33.3% of the time at home (two of six), and 0% of the time on the road (zero of four).
- In 2025-26 when moneyline underdogs, the Mean Green have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 1-0 record) than away (.250, 1-3).
Recent trends
- The Mean Green have fared better offensively in their past 10 games, tallying 70.4 points per contest, 0.5 more than their season average of 69.9.
- In its last 10 games, North Texas is giving up 63.6 points per game, 0.2 more points than its season average (63.4).
- In their previous 10 games, the Mean Green are making 6.0 treys per contest, 0.4 fewer threes than their season average (6.4). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (29.6%) compared to their season average (32.2%).
North Texas betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-5-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 2-3-0; As Underdog: 6-2-0)
- O-U-P: 2-10-1 (Home: 2-3-1; Away: 0-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-0 (Home: 5-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 (233rd in nation) | 40.7 (59th) | 30.5 (279th) | 29.1 (86th) | 13.4 (250th) | 11.5 (177th) |
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