Big West opponents square off when the UC Davis Aggies (9-6, 2-2 Big West) visit the Cal Poly Mustangs (6-11, 2-3 Big West) at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center, beginning at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 10, 2026. The Mustangs are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 167.5 points.
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UC Davis Cover -1.5 vs Cal Poly -110
UC Davis vs. Cal Poly betting lines
- UC Davis moneyline odds to win: -127
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +105
- Spread: UC Davis (-1.5)
- Total: 167.5
UC Davis statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, UC Davis has fared better when playing at home, covering four times in six home games, and four times in seven road games.
- When it comes to over/unders, the Aggies hit the over less consistently at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total four times in six opportunities this season (66.7%). In away games, they have hit the over five times in seven opportunities (71.4%).
Recent trends
- The Aggies have seen an increase in scoring recently, racking up 82.7 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.5 points more than the 81.2 they’ve scored this season.
- UC Davis has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 79.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 75.9 it has surrendered this year.
- While the Aggies are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (8.8 per game) when compared to their season-long average (8.9), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (36.4% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 35.8% on the season).
UC Davis betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-5-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-2-0; As Underdog: 5-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-4-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 5-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-1 (Home: 4-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.7 (74th in nation) | 44.8 (257th) | 30.0 (300th) | 30.7 (157th) | 16.6 (68th) | 12.6 (275th) |
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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, Cal Poly is 1-3-0 at home against the spread (.250 winning percentage). On the road, it is 6-4-0 ATS (.600).
- In terms of the over/under, Mustangs games have finished over two of four times at home (50%), and seven of 10 away (70%).
- The Mustangs, as moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (1-2) as away (3-6) this year.
Recent trends
- The Mustangs have performed worse offensively in their past 10 games, putting up 80.3 points per contest, 0.9 fewer points their than season average of 81.2.
- In its past 10 games, Cal Poly is allowing 85.2 points per game, 0.5 fewer points than its season average (85.7).
- The Mustangs are draining 0.1 fewer threes per contest in their last 10 games (11.0) compared to their season average (11.1), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (33.2%) compared to their season mark (34.2%).
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-8-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 7-6-0 (As Favorite: 0-2-0; As Underdog: 7-6-0)
- O-U-P: 9-6-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-9 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.1 (315th in nation) | 45.5 (289th) | 35.2 (81st) | 34.2 (315th) | 12.6 (293rd) | 15.4 (362nd) |
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