The New Orleans Pelicans (15-40) hit the court against the Miami Heat (28-27) as only 1.5-point favorites on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, and Pelicans+. The over/under is set at 232.5 in the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Pelicans Cover -1.5 vs Heat -110
Pelicans vs. Heat betting lines
- Pelicans odds to win: -123
- Heat odds to win: +104
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
- Total: 232.5
Pelicans Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- New Orleans is 9-19 in home contests with a 17-11 record against the spread at home.
- This season, New Orleans is 4-0 ATS in home games as 1.5-point favorites or more.
- The Pelicans have hit the over in 15 of their 28 home games this year with a set over/under (53.6%).
- New Orleans and its opponents have averaged a total of 235.1 points per home contest this season, 2.6 points greater than this game’s listed total.
Pelicans Recent Trends
- The Pelicans have a 5-5 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- The final score of the past 10 Pelicans games has gone over the set total three times.
- The Pelicans’ past 10 games have ended with an average of 233.4 points scored. That’s 0.9 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Pelicans have a points-per-game average 1.2 points below their season-long scoring average.
Pelicans Betting Records
- The Pelicans have won six of the seven games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (85.7%).
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -123 or shorter, New Orleans has a record of 5-1 (83.3% win percentage).
- The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Pelicans a 55.2% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 (20th in NBA) | 48 (24th) | 43.5 (16th) | 45.9 (25th) | 25 (23rd) | 13.2 (sixth) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Heat are 12-16 in road contests with a 17-10-1 record against the spread on the road.
- This year, the Heat are 6-2 ATS in road games as 1.5-point underdogs or more.
- On the road this season, Heat games have gone over the set point total 13 times.
- Recent history gives an edge to the Heat to beat the total. This year their road games averaged a total of 235.8 points per contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 5-5 overall and 6-4 against the spread over their last 10 games.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to hit the over in four of the past 10 games.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 234.6 total points, 2.1 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Heat’s per-game scoring average across their last 10 games is 120.4, 0.9 points higher than their season-long per-game average.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has been underdogs in 28 games this season and won 12 (42.9%) of those contests.
- The Heat have a record of 11-15 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +104 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Heat based on the moneyline is 49.0%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 (20th in NBA) | 45.8 (fifth) | 46.7 (second) | 47.4 (29th) | 28.6 (seventh) | 13.7 (13th) |
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