The East Tennessee State Buccaneers (21-9, 13-4 SoCon) are slight underdogs (by 1.5 points) to build on a six-game road win streak when they visit the Mercer Bears (18-12, 10-7 SoCon) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 151.5.
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Mercer Cover -1.5 vs East Tennessee State -112
Mercer vs. East Tennessee State betting lines
- Mercer moneyline odds to win: -126
- East Tennessee State moneyline odds to win: +104
- Spread: Mercer (-1.5)
- Total: 151.5
Mercer statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Mercer has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered eight times in 11 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered 10 times in 16 opportunities in away games.
- The Bears have eclipsed the total more consistently at home, hitting the over in eight of 11 home matchups (72.7%). In road games, they have hit the over in five of 16 games (31.2%).
- Mercer has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 10-1 (.909). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 3-4 (.429).
Recent trends
- The Bears’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 78.3 points a contest compared to the 83.0 they’ve averaged this year.
- The past 10 games have seen Mercer give up 0.8 more points per game (76.2) than its season-long average (75.4).
- While the Bears are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (7.8 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (8.7), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.7% from deep over the last 10, 34.3% on the season).
Mercer betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-9-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 10-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 11-7-0 (As Favorite: 11-7-0; As Underdog: 7-2-0)
- O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 5-11-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-5 (Home: 10-1; Away: 3-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3 (120th in nation) | 43.2 (119th) | 33.9 (83rd) | 32.1 (243rd) | 13.8 (183rd) | 10.4 (114th) |
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East Tennessee State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, East Tennessee State has a better winning percentage at home (.533, 8-7-0 record) than on the road (.462, 6-7-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Buccaneers games have gone over seven of 15 times at home (46.7%), and eight of 13 on the road (61.5%).
Recent trends
- The Buccaneers are tallying 79.9 points per game over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 78.3.
- Over its previous 10 games, East Tennessee State is allowing 71.7 points per game, 3.2 more points than its season average (68.5).
- The Buccaneers are sinking 7.5 three-pointers per contest with a 36.6% three-point percentage over their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.4 and 34.3%.
East Tennessee State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-14-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 6-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 12-12-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 8-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-7 (Home: 11-4; Away: 6-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (30th in nation) | 41.8 (60th) | 31.4 (222nd) | 28.9 (56th) | 14.5 (134th) | 9.7 (51st) |
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