The Dallas Mavericks (23-49) are big, 11.5-point underdogs as they try to break a four-game losing streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (45-28) on Wednesday, March 25, 2026 at Ball Arena. The contest airs at 10 p.m. ET on KFAA, ALT, and KTVD. The over/under for the matchup is 245.5.
Check out all the Latest NBA Betting Previews!
Nuggets Cover -11.5 vs Mavericks -111
Nuggets vs. Mavericks betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -645
- Mavericks odds to win: +468
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
- Total: 245.5
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Denver has a 17-17 record against the spread at home and is 21-13 in home contests.
- Denver has a 4-4 record ATS in home games this season as 11.5-point favorites or more.
- Nuggets home games have hit the over on the set point total 16 times this season.
- This season at home Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 233.7 points per contest, 11.8 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have covered the spread five times in their last 10 matchups while putting up a 6-4 record straight-up in those games.
- The Nuggets and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of those 10 games.
- The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 7.7 fewer points (237.8) than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over their past 10 games, the Nuggets have a points-per-game average 2.6 points above their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have been favored on the moneyline 51 total times this season. They’ve finished 35-16 in those games.
- In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -645 or shorter, Denver has a record of 5-2 (71.4% win percentage).
- The Nuggets have an 86.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.4 (second in NBA) | 46.8 (12th) | 43.4 (16th) | 42.8 (eighth) | 28.5 (seventh) | 12.3 (third) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Nuggets vs. Mavericks? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Mavericks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Mavericks have covered the spread 14 times on the road and are 9-26 in road contests.
- The Mavericks have hit the over in 13 of their 35 road games this year with a set over/under (37.1%).
- The Mavericks and their opponents have averaged a total of 233.0 points per road contest this year, 12.5 points fewer than this game’s projected total.
Mavericks Recent Trends
- The Mavericks are 2-8 overall and 3-7 against the spread in their past 10 games.
- The final scores of the last 10 Mavericks games have gone over the set total five times.
- The Mavericks’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 235.8 points scored. That’s 9.7 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their past 10 games, the Mavericks have a 115.2 points-per-game average, 1.4 points above their season-long scoring average.
Mavericks Betting Records
- This season, Dallas has been the underdog 51 times and won 13, or 25.5%, of those games.
- The Mavericks are 1-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +468 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Mavericks based on the moneyline is 17.6%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 (14th in NBA) | 47.5 (19th) | 44.7 (10th) | 46.5 (27th) | 25.3 (22nd) | 14.4 (21st) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
