Week 17 NFL action pits Baker Mayfield and his Tampa Bay Buccaneers teammates up against the Miami Dolphins at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday Let’s break down Mayfield’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this contest to help you come up with good predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Baker Mayfield to go over 225.5 yards
Baker Mayfield Prop Lines
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 28, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 225.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 15.5 (-110)
Baker Mayfield Stats and Trends
- Mayfield has thrown for 3,144 yards (209.6 per game), completing 61.6% of his passes, with 23 TDs and eight INTs.
- Mayfield’s passing yardage average this season — 209.6 yards per game — is 15.9 lower than Sunday’s over/under.
- In 15 games this season, Mayfield has gone over 225.5 passing yards seven times.
- His passing yards average of 209.6 yards this year is lower than his average prop bet total (232.5) by 22.9 passing yards.
- This year, Mayfield has bettered his passing yards prop total in five games (33.3%).
- He has tossed a touchdown pass in 14 of 15 games this year, with more than one TD throw seven times.
- Mayfield has contributed on the ground too, with 335 yards (22.3 per game) on 48 carries and one TD.
Recent Performances vs. the Dolphins
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 262 | 1 |
| 2 | Patriots | 211 | 2 |
| 3 | Bills | 203 | 3 |
| 4 | Jets | 207 | 1 |
| 5 | Panthers | 179 | 2 |
| 6 | Chargers | 263 | 2 |
| 7 | Browns | 102 | 0 |
| 8 | Falcons | 168 | 0 |
| 9 | Ravens | 188 | 4 |
| 10 | Bills | 289 | 2 |
| 11 | Commanders | 207 | 1 |
| 13 | Saints | 213 | 2 |
| 14 | Jets | 142 | 0 |
| 15 | Steelers | 201 | 2 |
| 16 | Bengals | 302 | 4 |
Buccaneers Away Splits
- The Buccaneers score 21.5 points per game in away games (1.6 fewer than overall), and allow 25.3 in away games (0.2 more than overall).
- The Buccaneers accumulate fewer yards away from home (295.6 per game) than they do overall (315.3), and concede more (345.4 per game) than overall (343.3).
- The Buccaneers pick up fewer passing yards on the road (177 per game) than they do overall (198.3), and concede more (251 per game) than overall (242).
- On the road, the Buccaneers accumulate more rushing yards (118.6 per game) than they do overall (116.9). They also give up fewer rushing yards on the road (94.4) than they do overall (101.3).
- The Buccaneers convert 44.3% of third downs on the road (4.3% more than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 43.2% in road games (2.1% more than overall).
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