Week 17 action in the NFL features Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams facing off against the Atlanta Falcons at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday. Below, we take a look at Stafford’s stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you find the best bets for the player and this matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Matthew Stafford to go over 270.5 yards
Matthew Stafford Prop Lines
- Matchup: Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: December 29, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 270.5 (-113)
Matthew Stafford Stats and Trends
- Stafford has thrown for 4,179 yards (278.6 yards per game), completing 65.7% of his passes (341-for-519), with 40 touchdowns and five interceptions.
- Compared to his 270.5-yard prop bet total for this matchup, Stafford is passing for more yards per game — 278.6 — this year.
- In nine of 15 matchups this season, Stafford has topped 270.5 passing yards.
- His 278.6 passing yards per game average is 25.8 above his average over/under of 252.8.
- This season, Stafford has finished above his passing yards total 10 times (66.7%).
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all 15 games this season, with more than one TD pass 13 times.
- Stafford has tacked on -2 yards rushing on 28 attempts, accumulating -0.1 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Falcons
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buccaneers | 159 | 3 |
| 2 | Vikings | 120 | 0 |
| 3 | Panthers | 114 | 0 |
| 4 | Commanders | 147 | 2 |
| 6 | Bills | 157 | 2 |
| 7 | 49ers | 150 | 0 |
| 8 | Dolphins | 197 | 4 |
| 9 | Patriots | 221 | 2 |
| 10 | Colts | 196 | 1 |
| 11 | Panthers | 419 | 3 |
| 12 | Saints | 214 | 0 |
| 13 | Jets | 159 | 1 |
| 14 | Seahawks | 236 | 3 |
| 15 | Buccaneers | 250 | 2 |
| 16 | Cardinals | 188 | 1 |
Rams Away Splits
- The Rams score more points in road games (32.9 per game) than they do overall (30.5), but they also allow more (21.8 per game) than overall (19.9).
- The Rams pick up more yards on the road (399.8 per game) than they do overall (396.7), but they also concede more (334.3 per game) than overall (327.1).
- On the road, the Rams accumulate fewer passing yards (259.4 per game) than they do overall (270.5). But they also give up fewer passing yards in away games (218.3) than overall (221.3).
- The Rams accumulate more rushing yards in away games (140.4 per game) than they do overall (126.3), but they also give up more (116 per game) than overall (105.7).
- The Rams convert 38.1% of third downs in road games (0.1% more than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 36.4% on the road (0.3% more than overall).
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