Bowling Green vs. Toledo betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 14

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

MAC foes meet when the Bowling Green Falcons (15-10, 6-6 MAC) host the Toledo Rockets (13-12, 7-5 MAC) at Stroh Center, tipping off at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 14, 2026. The Rockets are 3.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total in the matchup is 150.5.

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Bowling Green Cover -3.5 vs Toledo -114

Bet $20, Payout $37.54

Bowling Green vs. Toledo betting lines

  • Bowling Green moneyline odds to win: -189
  • Toledo moneyline odds to win: +153
  • Spread: Bowling Green (-3.5)
  • Total: 150.5

Bowling Green statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Bowling Green has done a better job covering the spread in away games (5-5-0) than it has in home games (3-7-0).
  • The Falcons have hit the over on the total in four of 10 home games (40%), compared to three of 10 road games (30%).
  • Bowling Green has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 5-3 (.625). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 4-2 (.667).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 72.5 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 82.4 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • Bowling Green’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 72.5 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 70.2 points per game its opponents average this season.
  • The Falcons are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 6.1 threes per game and shooting 33.0% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.9 makes and 33.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Bowling Green betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-13-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 6-7-0 (As Favorite: 7-9-0; As Underdog: 2-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-15-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 3-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 5-3; Away: 4-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.4 (36th in nation) 43.2 (125th) 32.2 (186th) 30.0 (119th) 14.7 (130th) 11.4 (215th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Bowling Green vs. Toledo? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Toledo statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Toledo has had better results on the road (7-4-0) than at home (4-6-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Rockets games have finished over four of 10 times at home (40%), and six of 11 away (54.5%).
  • The Rockets’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .500 (1-1), and away it is .167 (1-5).

Recent trends

  • The Rockets are putting up 80.0 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 1.3 fewer points than their average for the season (81.3).
  • Toledo is giving up 78.8 points per game over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 77.5 points allowed.
  • The Rockets are sinking 7.5 threes per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.5 more than their average for the season (7.0). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (39.3%) compared to their season average from three-point land (35.4%).

Toledo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-11-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 7-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-13-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-5 (Home: 5-3; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.1 (46th in nation) 47.1 (324th) 29.8 (298th) 32.7 (278th) 15.3 (100th) 10.3 (94th)
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