The Texas State Bobcats (16-11, 8-6 Sun Belt) are heavy, 12.5-point favorites as they look to continue a five-game winning streak when they host the UL Monroe Warhawks (4-22, 1-12 Sun Belt) on Saturday, February 14, 2026 at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center. The contest airs at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is set at 149.5.
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Texas State Cover -12.5 vs UL Monroe -115
Texas State vs. UL Monroe betting lines
- Texas State moneyline odds to win: -1205
- UL Monroe moneyline odds to win: +704
- Spread: Texas State (-12.5)
- Total: 149.5
Texas State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Texas State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 10 times in 13 opportunities at home, and it has covered four times in 10 opportunities in road games.
- The Bobcats have gone over the total less often when playing at home, hitting the over in five of 13 home matchups (38.5%). In road games, they have hit the over in seven of 10 games (70%).
- In 10 home games as a moneyline favorite, Texas State has 10 wins (1.000). It owns the same winning percentage (1-0 record) as a moneyline favorite in away games.
Recent trends
- The Bobcats have seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 72.3 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.4 points fewer than the 73.7 they’ve scored this season.
- Texas State has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 68.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 70.4 it has conceded per game this season.
- The Bobcats are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 4.3 threes per game and shooting 32.3% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 4.8 makes and 32.6% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Texas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 10-3-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- O-U-P: 13-12-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 10-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 2-1; Away: 1-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3 (120th in nation) | 43.6 (150th) | 32.4 (169th) | 27.3 (19th) | 13.0 (253rd) | 12.2 (283rd) |
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UL Monroe statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, UL Monroe has had better results away (6-7-0) than at home (4-5-0).
- Warhawks games have finished above the over/under less often at home (six times out of nine) than away (10 of 13) this season.
- When moneyline underdogs, the Warhawks have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-8) than away (1-10).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Warhawks are tallying 67.7 points per contest, compared to their season average of 71.7.
- While UL Monroe is allowing 82.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark in its last 10 games, allowing 82.3 points per contest.
- The Warhawks are sinking 6.5 treys per game in their last 10 games, which is 1.2 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.7). Additionally, they have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (27.8%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (32.1%).
UL Monroe betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-12-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 6-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 6-5-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 11-11-0)
- O-U-P: 17-7-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 10-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-0 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-20 (Home: 0-8; Away: 1-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.0 (344th in nation) | 47.5 (336th) | 29.2 (318th) | 37.4 (363rd) | 12.1 (311th) | 12.4 (302nd) |
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